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Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by recurrent neural networks (RNNs) based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine the internal dynamics of RNNs and establish a set of conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Boris Rubinstein

Predicting financial markets and stock price movements requires analyzing a company's performance, historic price movements, industry-specific events alongside the influence of human factors such as social media and press coverage. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ali Elahi , Fatemeh Taghvaei

The Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) model, which predicts the current value of a time series based upon its previous values as well as the current and past values of multiple driving (exogenous) series, has been studied for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Yao Qin , Dongjin Song , Haifeng Chen , Wei Cheng , Guofei Jiang , Garrison Cottrell

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

Stock trend forecasting, aiming at predicting the stock future trends, is crucial for investors to seek maximized profits from the stock market. Many event-driven methods utilized the events extracted from news, social media, and discussion…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-22 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Chang Xu , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

We explore unsupervised speech enhancement using diffusion models as expressive generative priors for clean speech. Existing approaches guide the reverse diffusion process using noisy speech through an approximate, noise-perturbed…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Mostafa Sadeghi , Jean-Eudes Ayilo , Romain Serizel , Xavier Alameda-Pineda

The dynamical organization in the presence of noise of a Boolean neural network with random connections is analyzed. For low levels of noise, the system reaches a stationary state in which the majority of its elements acquire the same…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Cristian Huepe , Maximino Aldana

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

An intelligent observer looks at the world and sees not only what is, but what is moving and what can be moved. In other words, the observer sees how the present state of the world can transform in the future. We propose a model that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Andrew Jaegle , Oleh Rybkin , Konstantinos G. Derpanis , Kostas Daniilidis

We study a variant of the voter model with multiple opinions; individuals can imitate each other and also change their opinion randomly in mutation events. We focus on the case of a population with all-to-all interaction. A noise-driven…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-14 Francisco Herrerías-Azcué , Tobias Galla

We extend Neural Processes (NPs) to sequential data through Recurrent NPs or RNPs, a family of conditional state space models. RNPs model the state space with Neural Processes. Given time series observed on fast real-world time scales but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Timon Willi , Jonathan Masci , Jürgen Schmidhuber , Christian Osendorfer

We introduce a method for learning the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems based on deep generative models over temporal segments of states and actions. Unlike dynamics models that operate over individual discrete timesteps, we learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Nikhil Mishra , Pieter Abbeel , Igor Mordatch

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

We propose a three-state microscopic opinion formation model for the purpose of simulating the dynamics of financial markets. In order to mimic the heterogeneous composition of the mass of investors in a market, the agent-based model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-14 Bernardo J. Zubillaga , André L. M. Vilela , Chao Wang , Kenric P. Nelson , H. Eugene Stanley

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

We introduce Active Tuning, a novel paradigm for optimizing the internal dynamics of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) on the fly. In contrast to the conventional sequence-to-sequence mapping scheme, Active Tuning decouples the RNN's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Sebastian Otte , Matthias Karlbauer , Martin V. Butz

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

A growing empirical literature suggests that equity-premium predictability is state dependent, with much of the forecasting power concentrated around recessionary periods (Henkel et al., 2011; Dangl and Halling, 2012; Devpura et al., 2018).…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Ilias Aarab

We study data-driven stabilization of continuous-time systems in autoregressive form when only noisy input-output data are available. First, we provide an operator-based characterization of the set of systems consistent with the data. Next,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Masashi Wakaiki

This paper tends to define the quantitative relationship between the stock price and time as a time function. Based on the empirical evidence that the log-return of a stock is the series of white noise, a mathematical model of the integral…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Shengfeng Mei , Hong Gao
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