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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in quantitative finance for stock price forecasting. This review synthesizes recent applications of LLMs in this domain, including extracting sentiment from financial news and social…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-08 Olivia Zhang , Zhilin Zhang

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

Multi-step stock index forecasting is vital in finance for informed decision-making. Current forecasting methods on this task frequently produce unsatisfactory results due to the inherent data randomness and instability, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia

Considering the difficulty of financial time series forecasting in financial aid, much of the current research focuses on leveraging big data analytics in financial services. One modern approach is to utilize "predictive analysis",…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Md Khairul Islam , Ayush Karmacharya , Timothy Sue , Judy Fox

This paper presents a novel study on harnessing Large Language Models' (LLMs) outstanding knowledge and reasoning abilities for explainable financial time series forecasting. The application of machine learning models to financial time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xinli Yu , Zheng Chen , Yuan Ling , Shujing Dong , Zongyi Liu , Yanbin Lu

In this work, we present our findings and experiments for stock-market prediction using various textual sentiment analysis tools, such as mood analysis and event extraction, as well as prediction models, such as LSTMs and specific…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-01-22 Jordan Prosky , Xingyou Song , Andrew Tan , Michael Zhao

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

It is a challenging task to predict financial markets. The complexity of this task is mainly due to the interaction between financial markets and market participants, who are not able to keep rational all the time, and often affected by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-09 Jia Wang , Hongwei Zhu , Jiancheng Shen , Yu Cao , Benyuan Liu

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

Financial markets are an intriguing place that offer investors the potential to gain large profits if timed correctly. Unfortunately, the dynamic, non-linear nature of financial markets makes it extremely hard to predict future price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Daniel Boyle , Jugal Kalita

Traditional sentiment construction in finance relies heavily on the dictionary-based approach, with a few exceptions using simple machine learning techniques such as Naive Bayes classifier. While the current literature has not yet invoked…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-08 Joshua Zoen Git Hiew , Xin Huang , Hao Mou , Duan Li , Qi Wu , Yabo Xu

This paper explores the application of Natural Language Processing (NLP) in financial risk detection. By constructing an NLP-based financial risk detection model, this study aims to identify and predict potential risks in financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Liyang Wang , Yu Cheng , Ao Xiang , Jingyu Zhang , Haowei Yang

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

In this paper we investigate to what extent long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs) are suitable for demand forecasting in the e-grocery retail sector. For this purpose, univariate as well as multivariate LSTM-based models were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Marta Gołąbek , Robin Senge , Rainer Neumann

Large models have shown unprecedented capabilities in natural language processing, image generation, and most recently, time series forecasting. This leads us to ask the question: treating market prices as a time series, can large models be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-16 Xinghong Fu , Masanori Hirano , Kentaro Imajo

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques, particularly large language models (LLMs), in finance has garnered increasing academic attention. Despite progress, existing studies predominantly focus on tasks like financial…

As the complexity and dynamism of financial markets continue to grow, traditional financial risk prediction methods increasingly struggle to handle large datasets and intricate behavior patterns. This paper explores the feasibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Haowei Yang , Zhan Cheng , Zhaoyang Zhang , Yuanshuai Luo , Shuaishuai Huang , Ao Xiang

Temporal data distribution shift is prevalent in the financial text. How can a financial sentiment analysis system be trained in a volatile market environment that can accurately infer sentiment and be robust to temporal data distribution…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Yue Guo , Chenxi Hu , Yi Yang