Related papers: A Stochastic Hydrological Model for Regulation of …
Robust hydrological simulation is key for sustainable development, water management strategies, and climate change adaptation. In recent years, deep learning methods have been demonstrated to outperform mechanistic models at the task of…
Water balance models (WBMs) are often employed to understand regional hydrologic cycles over various time scales. Most WBMs, however, are physically-based, and few employ state-of-the-art statistical methods to reconcile independent input…
Despite the necessity for accurate flood prediction, many regions lack sufficient river discharge observations. Although numerous models for daily river discharge prediction exist, achieving high accuracy, interpretability, and efficiency…
Time series in natural sciences, such as hydrology and climatology, and other environmental applications, often consist of continuous observations constrained to the unit interval (0,1). Traditional Gaussian-based models fail to capture…
The optimal operation of water reservoir systems is a challenging task involving multiple conflicting objectives. The main source of complexity is the presence of the water inflow, which acts as an exogenous, highly uncertain disturbance on…
Recent deep learning approaches for river discharge forecasting have improved the accuracy and efficiency in flood forecasting, enabling more reliable early warning systems for risk management. Nevertheless, existing deep learning…
Reliable daily estimates of reservoir storage are pivotal for water allocation and drought response decisions in semiarid regions. Conventional rating curves at Loskop Dam, the primary storage on South Africa's Olifants River, have become…
Tanker water systems play critical role in providing adequate service to meet potable water demands in the face of acute water crisis in many cities globally. Managing tanker movements among the supply and demand sides requires an efficient…
This paper presents a novel methodology for modelling precipitation patterns in a specific geographical region using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). Departing from conventional HMMs, where the hidden state process is assumed to be Markovian,…
This paper develops a comprehensive Markov-based framework for modelling reservoir behaviour and assessing key performance measures such as reliability and resilience. We first formulate a stochastic model for a finite-capacity dam,…
This study aims to develop a universal, parameter-free model for sediment transport and riverbed evolution using a rigorous statistical physics framework. It seeks to overcome the limitations of traditional deterministic and empirical…
A theoretical estimate of the explicit time dependence of a drainage water of shallow lakes is presented as an important contribution for understanding the lake dynamics. This information can be obtained from a sum of functions, largely…
The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit…
A new stochastic control problem of a dam-reservoir system installed in a river is analyzed both mathematically and numerically. Water balance dynamics of the reservoir are piece-wise deterministic and are driven by a stochastic…
Flooding is one of the most destructive natural hazards worldwide, posing serious risks to ecosystems, infrastructure, and human livelihoods. This study combines Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery with environmental and hydrological…
The management of irrigation water systems has become increasingly complex due to competing demands for agricultural production, groundwater sustainability, and environmental flow requirements, particularly under hydrologic variability and…
Groundwater is a precious natural resource. Groundwater level (GWL) forecasting is crucial in the field of water resource management. Measurement of GWL from observation-wells is the principle source of information about the aquifer and is…
We present a stochastic programming model for informing the deployment of ad hoc flood mitigation measures to protect electrical substations prior to an imminent and uncertain hurricane. The first stage captures the deployment of a fixed…
Accurate, localised rainfall information is essential for applications such as agricultural planning, climate risk assessment, and water resources management. Gridded climate products provide rainfall information over large areas but can…
The increasing access to non-expensive sensors, computing power, and more accurate forecasting of storm events provides unique opportunities to shift flood management practices from static approaches to an optimization-based real-time…