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Profile likelihoods are rarely used in geostatistical models due to the computational burden imposed by repeated decompositions of large variance matrices. Accounting for uncertainty in covariance parameters can be highly consequential in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Ruoyong Xu , Patrick Brown

Certifiable, adaptive uncertainty estimates for unknown quantities are an essential ingredient of sequential decision-making algorithms. Standard approaches rely on problem-dependent concentration results and are limited to a specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Nicolas Emmenegger , Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for nonparametric functional data analysis using empirical likelihood. In this doubly infinite-dimensional context, we demonstrate the Wilks's phenomenon and propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-07 Heng Lian

We propose a new inferential framework for constructing confidence regions and testing hypotheses in statistical models specified by a system of high dimensional estimating equations. We construct an influence function by projecting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Matey Neykov , Yang Ning , Jun S. Liu , Han Liu

In this paper we consider the use of probabilistic or random models within a classical trust-region framework for optimization of deterministic smooth general nonlinear functions. Our method and setting differs from many stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-11 Afonso S. Bandeira , Katya Scheinberg , Luis Nunes Vicente

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

The factor estimation process is a really challenging task for non-linear models. Even whether researchers manage to successfully estimate model factors, they still must estimate their confidence intervals, which could require a high…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-09 Daniel Rojas-Diaz , Alexandra Catano-Lopez , Carlos M. Velez-Sanchez

The difficulty of minimizing a nonconvex function is in part explained by the presence of saddle points. This slows down optimization algorithms and impacts worst-case complexity guarantees. However, many nonconvex problems of interest…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Florentin Goyens , Clément W. Royer

We propose a nonsmooth trust-region method for solving optimization problems with locally Lipschitz continuous functions, with application to problems constrained by variational inequalities of the second kind. Under suitable assumptions on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Constantin Christof , Juan Carlos De Los Reyes , Christian Meyer

We consider risk-averse convex stochastic programs expressed in terms of extended polyhedral risk measures. We derive computable confidence intervals on the optimal value of such stochastic programs using the Robust Stochastic Approximation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Vincent Guigues

A C++ class was written for the calculation of frequentist confidence intervals using the profile likelihood method. Seven combinations of Binomial, Gaussian, Poissonian and Binomial uncertainties are implemented. The package provides…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-01-21 J. Lundberg , J. Conrad , W. Rolke , A. Lopez

A trust-region algorithm is presented for finding approximate minimizers of smooth unconstrained functions whose values and derivatives are subject to random noise. It is shown that, under suitable probabilistic assumptions, the new method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-03 S. Bellavia , G. Gurioli , B. Morini , Ph. L. Toint

Beta regression models are employed to model continuous response variables in the unit interval, like rates, percentages, or proportions. Their applications rise in several areas, such as medicine, environment research, finance, and natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Yuri S. Maluf , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco F. Queiroz

High-dimensional statistical inference with general estimating equations are challenging and remain less explored. In this paper, we study two problems in the area: confidence set estimation for multiple components of the model parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Cheng Yong Tang , Tong Tong Wu

Construction of tight confidence regions and intervals is central to statistical inference and decision making. This paper develops new theory showing minimum average volume confidence regions for categorical data. More precisely, consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-01 Matthew L. Malloy , Ardhendu Tripathy , Robert D. Nowak