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We develop a method based on martingales to study first-passage problems of time-additive observables exiting an interval of finite width in a Markov process. In the limit that the interval width is large, we derive generic expressions for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-14 Izaak Neri

We propose a very efficient method for pricing various types of lookback options under Markov models. We utilize the model-free representations of lookback option prices as integrals of first passage probabilities. We combine efficient…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Gongqiu Zhang , Lingfei Li

The first order by time partial differential equations are used as models in applications such as fluid flow, heat transfer, solid deformation, electromagnetic waves, and others. In this paper we propose the new numerical method to solve a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2008-01-14 Ivan Kazachkov

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

In this research work, let us focus on the construction of numerical scheme based on radial basis functions finite difference (RBF-FD) method combined with the Laplace transform for the solution of fractional order dispersive wave…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Hameed Ullah Jan , Marjan Uddin , Irshad Ali Shah , Salam Ullah Khan

Flow of molecular gas into a complex vacuum system is investigated by a lumped parameter model to estimate the time evolution of gas pressure $p_g$, which for the first time takes into account the realistic effect of time-delay arising due…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-19 Rajiv Goswami , K. A. Jadeja

We obtain an exact formula for the first-passage time probability distribution for random walks on complex networks using inverse Laplace transform. We write the formula as the summation of finitely many terms with different frequencies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-17 Mucong Ding , Kwok Yip Szeto

Bayesian statistical inverse problems are often solved with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)-type schemes. When the problems are governed by large-scale discrete nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), they are computationally…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Howard C. Elman , Akwum Onwunta

We develop new perturbative tools to accurately study radiatively-induced first-order phase transitions. Previous perturbative methods have suffered internal inconsistencies and been unsuccessful in reproducing lattice data, which is often…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-06-12 Andreas Ekstedt , Oliver Gould , Johan Löfgren

In this paper we present a comprehensive analysis of the solution of the classical problem of finding the distribution density of a random variable - the first passage time to a given domain by the trajectory of a $p$-adic Markov stochastic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-09-22 A. Kh. Bikulov , A. P. Zubarev

Solving partial differential equations (PDEs) by numerical methods meet computational cost challenge for getting the accurate solution since fine grids and small time steps are required. Machine learning can accelerate this process, but…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Qi Wang , Yuan Mi , Haoyun Wang , Yi Zhang , Ruizhi Chengze , Hongsheng Liu , Ji-Rong Wen , Hao Sun

This paper stidies the first passage times to constant boundaries for mixed-exponential jump diffusion processes. Explicit solutions of the Laplace transforms of the distribution of the first passage times, the joint distribution of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen , Zhaojun Zong , Ying Shen

This paper develops a probabilistic numerical method for solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) and studies application of that method to PDE-constrained inverse problems. This approach enables the solution of challenging inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

In this paper we study perpetual integral functionals of diffusions. Our interest is focused on cases where such functionals can be expressed as first hitting times for some other diffusions. In particular, we generalize the result which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Salminen , O. Wallin

A birth-death process is a continuous-time Markov chain that counts the number of particles in a system over time. In the general process with $n$ current particles, a new particle is born with instantaneous rate $\lambda_n$ and a particle…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-11 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

First-passage properties are central to the kinetics of target-search processes. Theoretical approaches so far primarily focused on predicting first-passage statistics for a given process or model. In practice, however, one faces the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-08 Rick Bebon , Aljaz Godec

This paper considers the class of L\'evy processes that can be written as a Brownian motion time changed by an independent L\'evy subordinator. Examples in this class include the variance gamma model, the normal inverse Gaussian model, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-02 T. R. Hurd , A. Kuznetsov

The mean first-passage time (MFPT) is one standard measure for the reaction time in thermally activated barrier-crossing processes. While the relationship between MFPTs and phenomenological rate coefficients is known for systems that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-12 Qingyuan Zhou , Roland R. Netz , Benjamin A. Dalton

Motivated by a range of biological applications related to the transport of molecules in cells, we present a modular framework to treat first-passage problems for diffusion in partitioned spaces. The spatial domains can differ with respect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-28 Daniela Frömberg , Felix Höfling

We present a method for computing the likelihood of a mixed hitting-time model that specifies durations as the first time a latent L\'evy process crosses a heterogeneous threshold. This likelihood is not generally known in closed form, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-03 Jaap H. Abbring , Tim Salimans