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Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distributions are flexible generalizations of the Poisson distribution for modelling overdispersed or underdispersed counts. The main hindrance to their wider use in practice seems to be the inability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-15 Alan Huang

Factor analysis for high-dimensional data is a canonical problem in statistics and has a wide range of applications. However, there is currently no factor model tailored to effectively analyze high-dimensional count responses with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

A Neyman-Scott process is a special case of a Cox process. The latent and observable stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott process in this paper, for which the building components of a network are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-10 Chengkuan Hong , Christian R. Shelton

We propose a new flexible tensor model for multiple-equation regression that accounts for latent regime changes. The model allows for dynamic coefficients and multi-dimensional covariates that vary across equations. We assume the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Over the past few decades, the Hawkes process has become a popular framework for modeling temporal events thanks to its flexibility to capture different dependency structures. The objective of this work is to model call sequences emitted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Anna Bonnet , Stéphane Robin

This paper introduces a new parsimonious structure for mixture of autoregressive models. the weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables, following a hidden Markov model. We propose a dynamic programming algorithm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 S. H. Alizadeh , S. Rezakhah

A particular challenge for disease progression modeling is the heterogeneity of a disease and its manifestations in the patients. Existing approaches often assume the presence of a single disease progression characteristics which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Taha Ceritli , Andrew P. Creagh , David A. Clifton

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

Estimating and testing for differences in molecular phenotypes (e.g. gene expression, chromatin accessibility, transcription factor binding) across conditions is an important part of understanding the molecular basis of gene regulation.…

We present a general construction for dependent random measures based on thinning Poisson processes on an augmented space. The framework is not restricted to dependent versions of a specific nonparametric model, but can be applied to all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Joseph D. Futoma , Daniel N. Rockmore , Sinead Williamson

Time series in real-world applications often have missing observations, making typical analytical methods unsuitable. One method for dealing with missing data is the concept of amplitude modulation. While this principle works with any data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-19 Simon Nik

Marginalized models are in great demand by most researchers in the life sciences particularly in clinical trials, epidemiology, health-economics, surveys and many others since they allow generalization of inference to the entire population…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-26 Samuel Iddi , Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

Modeling count data is important in physics and other scientific disciplines, where measurements often involve discrete, non-negative quantities such as photon or neutrino detection events. Traditional parametric approaches can be trained…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-10 Anushka Saha , Abhijith Gandrakota , Alexandre V. Morozov

In the context of multilevel longitudinal data, where sample units are collected in clusters, an important aspect that should be accounted for is the unobserved heterogeneity between sample units and between clusters. For this aim we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-10 F. Bartolucci , M. Lupparelli

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

Non-homogeneous Poisson processes are used in a wide range of scientific disciplines, ranging from the environmental sciences to the health sciences. Often, the central object of interest in a point process is the underlying intensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-11 Tin Lok James Ng , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

This paper studies theory and inference of an observation-driven model for time series of counts. It is assumed that the observations follow a Poisson distribution conditioned on an accompanying intensity process, which is equipped with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-18 Chao Wang , Heng Liu , Jian-Feng Yao , Richard A. Davis , Wai Keung Li

We review basic modeling approaches for failure and maintenance data from repairable systems. In particular we consider imperfect repair models, defined in terms of virtual age processes, and the trend-renewal process which extends the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-08-03 Bo Henry Lindqvist