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We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time ("nowcast") and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from multiple data sources including: Google searches, Twitter microblogs,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-17 Mauricio Santillana , Andre T. Nguyen , Mark Dredze , Michael J. Paul , John S. Brownstein

Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-17 Shihao Yang , Mauricio Santillana , S. C. Kou

Influenza-like illness (ILI) estimation from web search data is an important web analytics task. The basic idea is to use the frequencies of queries in web search logs that are correlated with past ILI activity as features when estimating…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Niels Dalum Hansen , Kåre Mølbak , Ingemar J. Cox , Christina Lioma

Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus

Big data collected from the Internet possess great potential to reveal the ever-changing trends in society. In particular, accurate infectious disease tracking with Internet data has grown in popularity, providing invaluable information for…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-22 Shaoyang Ning , Ahmed Hussain , Qing Wang

This paper presents a predictive model for Influenza-Like-Illness, based on Twitter traffic. We gather data from Twitter based on a set of keywords used in the Influenza wikipedia page, and perform feature selection over all words used in 3…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Katerina Katsani-Geronymaki , Polyvios Pratikakis

Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

We provide a brief technical description of an online platform for disease monitoring, titled as the Flu Detector (fludetector.cs.ucl.ac.uk). Flu Detector, in its current version (v.0.5), uses either Twitter or Google search data in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-19 Vasileios Lampos

For epidemics control and prevention, timely insights of potential hot spots are invaluable. Alternative to traditional epidemic surveillance, which often lags behind real time by weeks, big data from the Internet provide important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-25 Shihao Yang , Shaoyang Ning , S. C. Kou

Systems that exploit publicly available user generated content such as Twitter messages have been successful in tracking seasonal influenza. We developed a novel filtering method for Influenza-Like-Illnesses (ILI)-related messages using 587…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Son Doan , Lucila Ohno-Machado , Nigel Collier

In this work, we aim to determine the main factors driving behavioral change during the seasonal flu. To this end, we analyze a unique dataset comprised of 599 surveys completed by 434 Italian users of Influweb, a Web platform for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-01 Nicolò Gozzi , Daniela Perrotta , Daniela Paolotti , Nicola Perra

Numerous studies have attempted to model the effect of mass media on the transmission of diseases such as influenza, however quantitative data on media engagement has until recently been difficult to obtain. With the recent explosion of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Lewis Mitchell , Joshua V. Ross

Infectious diseases pose significant human and economic burdens. Accurately forecasting disease incidence can enable public health agencies to respond effectively to existing or emerging diseases. Despite progress in the field, developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Michael Morris

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

The search engine based on influenza monitoring system has been widely applied in many European and American countries. However, there are not any correlative researches reported for African developing countries. Especially, the countries…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Shengli Li , Xichuan Zhou

Infectious diseases are one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality around the world; thus, forecasting their impact is crucial for planning an effective response strategy. According to the Centers for Disease Control and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-18 Kyle S. Hickmann , Geoffrey Fairchild , Reid Priedhorsky , Nicholas Generous , James M. Hyman , Alina Deshpande , Sara Y. Del Valle

Mobile phones provide a powerful sensing platform that researchers may adopt to understand proximity interactions among people and the diffusion, through these interactions, of diseases, behaviors, and opinions. However, it remains a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Wen Dong , Tong Guan , Bruno Lepri , Chunming Qiao

Accurate real-time monitoring systems of influenza outbreaks help public health officials make informed decisions that may help save lives. We show that information extracted from cloud-based electronic health records databases, in…

So far, Google Trend data have been used for influenza surveillance in many European and American countries; however, there are few attempts to apply the low-cost surveillance method in Asian developing countries. To investigate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-12-11 Xichuan Zhou , Qin Li , Han Zhao , Shengli Li , Lei Yu , Fang Tang , Shengdong Hu , Guojun Li , Yujie Feng
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