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In this paper, we provide a multiscale perspective on the problem of maximum marginal likelihood estimation. We consider and analyse a diffusion-based maximum marginal likelihood estimation scheme using ideas from multiscale dynamics. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-11 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

This paper studies fundamental aspects of modelling data using multivariate Watson distributions. Although these distributions are natural for modelling axially symmetric data (i.e., unit vectors where $\pm \x$ are equivalent), for…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-28 Suvrit Sra , Dmitrii Karp

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

We show that the maximum slope invariant for tubular groups is easy to calculate, and give an example of two tubular groups that are distinguishable by their maximum slopes but not by edge pattern considerations or isoperimetric function.

Group Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-05 Christopher H. Cashen

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. One such representation is based on a limit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-26 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method for finding maximum likelihood estimates when data are incomplete or are treated as being incomplete. The EM algorithm and its variants are commonly used for parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-26 Ryan P. Browne , Sanjeena Subedi , Paul McNicholas

We develop a theory to measure the variance and covariance of probability distributions defined on the nodes of a graph, which takes into account the distance between nodes. Our approach generalizes the usual (co)variance to the setting of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-19 Karel Devriendt , Samuel Martin-Gutierrez , Renaud Lambiotte

In a recent paper, Nguyen, Kuhn, and Esfahani (2018) built a distributionally robust estimator for the precision matrix of the Gaussian distribution. The distributional uncertainty size is a key ingredient in the construction of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Jose Blanchet , Nian Si

We consider a lognormal diffusion process having a multisigmoidal logistic mean, useful to model the evolution of a population which reaches the maximum level of the growth after many stages. Referring to the problem of statistical…

Cascade processes are responsible for many important phenomena in natural and social sciences. Simple models of irreversible dynamics on graphs, in which nodes activate depending on the state of their neighbors, have been successfully…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-09-16 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Riccardo Zecchina

In recent years, Bayesian inference in large-scale inverse problems found in science, engineering and machine learning has gained significant attention. This paper examines the robustness of the Bayesian approach by analyzing the stability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Helin , Franca Hoffmann , Bamdad Hosseini

Maximizing the likelihood has been widely used for estimating the unknown covariance parameters of spatial Gaussian processes. However, evaluating and optimizing the likelihood function can be computationally intractable, particularly for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Hossein Keshavarz , XuanLong Nguyen , Clayton Scott

Cluster-weighted modeling (CWM) is a mixture approach for modeling the joint probability of a response variable and a set of explanatory variables. The parameters are estimated by means of the expectation-maximization algorithm according to…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-09 Salvatore Ingrassia , Simona C. Minotti

Random graphs offer a useful mathematical representation of a variety of real world complex networks. Exponential random graphs, for example, are particularly suited towards generating random graphs constrained to have specified statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-09 Alessio Catanzaro , Diego Garlaschelli , Subodh P. Patil

This paper revisits the classical concept of network modularity and its spectral relaxations used throughout graph data analysis. We formulate and study several modularity statistic variants for which we establish asymptotic distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Anirban Mitra , Konasale Prasad , Joshua Cape

Subsampling is commonly used to overcome computational and economical bottlenecks in the analysis of finite populations and massive datasets. Existing methods are often limited in scope and use optimality criteria (e.g., A-optimality) with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Henrik Imberg , Marina Axelson-Fisk , Johan Jonasson

Analyzing multi-layered graphical models provides insight into understanding the conditional relationships among nodes within layers after adjusting for and quantifying the effects of nodes from other layers. We obtain the penalized maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Jiahe Lin , Sumanta Basu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

We derive theorems which outline explicit mechanisms by which anomalous scaling for the probability density function of the sum of many correlated random variables asymptotically prevails. The results characterize general anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

The use of continuous probability distributions has been widespread in problems with purely discrete nature. In general, such distributions are not appropriate in this scenario. In this paper, we introduce a class of discrete and asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-21 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Leonardo Paiva , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Scale invariance, collective behaviours and structural reorganization are crucial for portfolio management (portfolio composition, hedging, alternative definition of risk, etc.). This lack of any characteristic scale and such elaborated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-24 Thomas Bury