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The recent COVID-19 pandemic has shown that when the reproduction number is high and there are no proper measurements in place, the number of infected people can increase dramatically in a short time, producing a phenomenon that many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-20 Jonathan A. Chávez Casillas

Attempts to curb the spread of coronavirus by introducing strict quarantine measures apparently have different effect in different countries: while the number of new cases has reportedly decreased in China and South Korea, it still exhibit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-24 Vitaly Volpert , Malay Banerjee , Sergei Petrovskii

Background: Early detection and isolation of COVID-19 patients are essential for successful implementation of mitigation strategies and eventually curbing the disease spread. With a limited number of daily COVID-19 tests performed in every…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-09 Mohammed Alser , Jeremie S. Kim , Nour Almadhoun Alserr , Stefan W. Tell , Onur Mutlu

Currently, novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a big threat to global health. The rapid spread of the virus has created pandemic, and countries all over the world are struggling with a surge in COVID-19 infected cases. There are no…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-08 Se Yoon Lee , Bowen Lei , Bani K. Mallick

We propose a new iterative procedure to optimize the restart for meta-heuristic algorithms to solve combinatorial optimization, which uses independent algorithm executions. The new procedure consists of either adding new executions or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Davide Palmigiani , Giovanni Sebastiani

COVID-19 pandemic is severely impacting the lives of billions across the globe. Even after taking massive protective measures like nation-wide lockdowns, discontinuation of international flight services, rigorous testing etc., the infection…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-28 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

In recent years, people from all over the world are suffering from one of the most severe diseases in history, known as Coronavirus disease 2019, COVID-19 for short. When the virus reaches the lungs, it has a higher probability to cause…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Meng Zhou

An outbreak of respiratory disease caused by a novel coronavirus is ongoing from December 2019. As of July 22, 2020, it has caused an epidemic outbreak with more than 15 million confirmed infections and above 6 hundred thousand reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-21 Sk Shahid Nadim , Indrajit Ghosh , Joydev Chattopadhyay

We introduce a deterministic model that partitions the total population into the susceptible, infected, quarantined, and those traced after exposure, the recovered and the deceased. We hypothesize 'accessible population for transmission of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 G. Ananthakrishna , Jagadish Kumar

Classical epidemiological models assume homogeneous populations. There have been important extensions to model heterogeneous populations, when the identity of the sub-populations is known, such as age group or geographical location. Here,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Roberto Vega , Zehra Shah , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner

SARS-CoV2, which causes coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is continuing to spread globally and has become a pandemic. People have lost their lives due to the virus and the lack of counter measures in place. Given the increasing caseload and…

To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policy-making, we formulated two types of mathematical models for COVID-19 transmission within a regional population. One is a fitting function that can be calibrated to reproduce…

We propose two stochastic models for the Coronavirus pandemic. The statistical properties of the models, in particular the correlation functions and the probability density function, have duly been computed. Our models, which generalises a…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-12-04 Giorgio Sonnino , Fernando Mora , Pasquale Nardone

The mathematical modeling of infectious diseases is a fundamental research field for the planning of strategies to contain outbreaks. The models associated with this field of study usually have exponential prior assumptions in the number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-02 Jhony H. Giraldo , Thierry Bouwmans

Mathematical models of SARS-CoV-2 spread are used for guiding the design of mitigation steps aimed at containing and decelerating the contagion, and at identifying impending breaches of health care system surge capacity. The challenges of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-17 Daniela Calvetti , Alexander Hoover , Johnie Rose , Erkki Somersalo

We propose a simple SIR model in order to investigate the impact of various confinement strategies on a most virulent epidemic. Our approach is motivated by the current COVID-19 pandemic. The main hypothesis is the existence of two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-30 G. Nakamura , B. Grammaticos , M. Badoual

Mechanistic mathematical models of within-host viral dynamics are tools for understanding how a virus' biology and its interaction with the immune system shape the infectivity of a host. The biology of the process is encoded by the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-11 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

We propose a mathematical model to analyze the time evolution of the total number of infected population with Covid-19 disease at a region in the ongoing pandemic. Using the available data of Covid-19 infected population on various…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-17 Nilmani Mathur , Gargi Shaw

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a rapidly emerging respiratory disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Due to the rapid human-to-human transmission of SARS-CoV-2, many healthcare systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Patrick Schwab , August DuMont Schütte , Benedikt Dietz , Stefan Bauer

The Coronavirus, known as COVID-19, which appeared in 2019 in China, has significantly affected global health and become a huge burden on health institutions all over the world. These effects are continuing today. One strategy for limiting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Maryam T. Abdulkhaleq , Tarik A. Rashid , Bryar A. Hassan , Abeer Alsadoon , Nebojsa Bacanin , Amit Chhabra , S. Vimal