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We derive an upper bound for the mean of the supremum of the empirical process indexed by a class of functions that are known to have variance bounded by a small constant $\delta$. The bound is expressed in the uniform entropy integral of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Aad van der Vaart , Jon A. Wellner

We study the supremum of some random Dirichlet polynomials with independent coefficients and obtain sharp upper and lower bounds for supremum expectation thus extending the results from our previous work (see…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Mikhail Lifshits , Michel Weber

Random probabilities are a key component to many nonparametric methods in Statistics and Machine Learning. To quantify comparisons between different laws of random probabilities several works are starting to use the elegant Wasserstein over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

The asymptotic behaviour of empirical measures has been studied extensively. In this paper, we consider empirical measures of given subordinated processes on complete (not necessarily compact) and connected Riemannian manifolds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Huaiqian Li , Bingyao Wu

We propose a method to bound the expectation of the supremum of the price process in stochastic volatility models. It can be applied, for example, to the rough Bergomi model, avoiding the need to discuss finiteness of higher moments. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Stefan Gerhold , Julian Pachschwöll , Johannes Ruf

This paper derives new maximal inequalities for empirical processes associated with separately exchangeable random arrays. For fixed index dimension $K\ge 1$, we establish a global maximal inequality bounding the $q$-th moment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-12 Harold D. Chiang

We develop a Hungarian construction for the partial sum process of independent non-identically distributed random variables. The process is indexed by functions $f$ from a class $\mathcal{H}$, but the supremum over $f\in $ $\mathcal{H}$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Ion Grama , Michael Nussbaum

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

Discovery problems often require deciding whether additional sampling is needed to detect all categories whose prevalence exceeds a prespecified threshold. We study this question under a Bernoulli product (incidence) model, where categories…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Alessandro Colombi , Mario Beraha , Amichai Painsky , Stefano Favaro

Randomized higher-order computation can be seen as being captured by a lambda calculus endowed with a single algebraic operation, namely a construct for binary probabilistic choice. What matters about such computations is the probability of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Ugo Dal Lago , Claudia Faggian , Simona Ronchi Della Rocca

Analysis of extremal behavior of stochastic processes is a key ingredient in a wide variety of applications, including probability, statistical physics, theoretical computer science, and learning theory. In this paper, we consider centered…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Yifeng Chu , Maxim Raginsky

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible tools for clustering dependent data coming from unknown populations, allowing nonparametric modelling of the population densities. Identifiability fails when the data is in fact independent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Kweku Abraham , Elisabeth Gassiat , Zacharie Naulet

This paper investigates robust versions of the general empirical risk minimization algorithm, one of the core techniques underlying modern statistical methods. Success of the empirical risk minimization is based on the fact that for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stanislav Minsker , Timothée Mathieu

We study the maximum of the random assignment process on rectangular matrices. We derive first-order asymptotics for the expected maximum, prove a law of large numbers under mild tail assumptions, and obtain exponential upper bounds for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Timofey Moskalenko

Observing a load process above high thresholds, modeling it as a pulse process with random occurrence times and magnitudes, and extrapolating life-time maximum or design loads from the data is a common task in structural reliability…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-28 Baidurya Bhattacharya

We consider the problem of discriminating finite-dimensional quantum processes, also called quantum supermaps, that can consist of multiple time steps. Obtaining the ultimate performance for discriminating quantum processes is of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-02-22 Kenji Nakahira , Kentaro Kato

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-17 Song Mei , Yu Bai , Andrea Montanari

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

We find explicit and optimal upper bounds for the expected occupation density for an It\^o-process when its drift and diffusion coefficients are unknown under boundedness and ellipticity conditions on the coefficients. This is related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-20 Paul Krühner , Shijie Xu

Weak convergence of the empirical copula process is shown to hold under the assumption that the first-order partial derivatives of the copula exist and are continuous on certain subsets of the unit hypercube. The assumption is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Johan Segers