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Landslides often hit newsstands due to their destructive and potentially fatal effects. News are a valuable source of information for creating or enriching disaster databases and for expediting media-based studies of the dynamics of media…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Brielen Madureira , Andreas Niekler , Marc Keuschnigg , Mariana Madruga de Brito

This paper proposes an information retrieval method for the economy news. The effect of economy news, are researched in the word level and stock market values are considered as the ground proof. The correlation between stock market prices…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-03-11 Sadi Evren Seker , Cihan Mert , Khaled Al-Naami , Nuri Ozalp , Ugur Ayan

In the following paper, we use a topic modeling algorithm and sentiment scoring methods to construct a novel metric that serves as a leading indicator in recession prediction models. We hypothesize that the inclusion of such a sentiment…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-01 Melody Y. Huang , Randall R. Rojas , Patrick D. Convery

Determining the sustainability impact of companies is a highly complex subject which has garnered more and more attention over the past few years. Today, investors largely rely on sustainability-ratings from established rating-providers in…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Fabian Billert , Stefan Conrad

Predicting panic is of critical importance in many areas of human and animal behavior, notably in the context of economics. The recent financial crisis is a case in point. Panic may be due to a specific external threat, or self-generated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-15 Dion Harmon , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , David D. Chinellato , Dan Braha , Irving R. Epstein , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Digital Financial Services continue to expand and replace the delivery of traditional banking services to the customers through innovative technologies to meet the growing complex needs and globalization challenges. These diversified…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-30 Tariq Abbasi , Hans Weigand

Bank failures can stem from runs on otherwise solvent banks or from losses that render banks insolvent, regardless of withdrawals. Disentangling the relative importance of liquidity and solvency in explaining bank failures is central to…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Sergio Correia , Stephan Luck , Emil Verner

Business statistics play a crucial role in implementing a data-driven strategic plan at the enterprise level to employ various analytics where the outcomes of such a plan enable an enterprise to enhance the decision-making process or to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Saman Sarraf

Corporate distress models typically only employ the numerical financial variables in the firms' annual reports. We develop a model that employs the unstructured textual data in the reports as well, namely the auditors' reports and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Rastin Matin , Casper Hansen , Christian Hansen , Pia Mølgaard

The new digital revolution of big data is deeply changing our capability of understanding society and forecasting the outcome of many social and economic systems. Unfortunately, information can be very heterogeneous in the importance,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-16 Gabriele Ranco , Ilaria Bordino , Giacomo Bormetti , Guido Caldarelli , Fabrizio Lillo , Michele Treccani

Diffusion in a linear potential in the presence of position-dependent killing is used to mimic a default process. Different assumptions regarding transport coefficients, initial conditions, and elasticity of the killing measure lead to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Yuri A. Katz

The fragility of financial systems was starkly demonstrated in early 2023 through a cascade of major bank failures in the United States, including the second, third, and fourth largest collapses in the US history. The highly interdependent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-19 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

After the shocking series of bankruptcies started in 2008, the public does not trust anymore the classical methods of assessing business risks. The global economic severe downturn caused demand for both developed and emerging economies'…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-13 Anda Gheorghiu , Anca Gheorghiu , Ion Spanulescu

Accounting fraud is a global concern representing a significant threat to the financial system stability due to the resulting diminishing of the market confidence and trust of regulatory authorities. Several tricks can be used to commit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-09 Maria Jofre , Richard Gerlach

We examine how uncertain veracity of external news influences investor beliefs, market prices and corporate disclosures. Despite assuming independence between the news' veracity and the firm's endowment with private information, we find…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-21 Jonathan Libgober , Beatrice Michaeli , Elyashiv Wiedman

We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-20 Charles D. Brummitt , Rajiv Sethi , Duncan J. Watts

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-25 Kateryna Kononova , Anton Dek

Practical news feed platforms generate a hybrid list of news articles and advertising items (e.g., products, services, or information) and many platforms optimize the position of news articles and advertisements independently. However, they…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Kojiro Iizuka , Yoshifumi Seki , Makoto P. Kato

We develop a novel technique to extract credit-relevant information from the text of quarterly earnings calls. This information is not spanned by fundamental or market variables and forecasts future credit spread changes. One reason for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Harry Mamaysky , Yiwen Shen , Hongyu Wu

Following the financial crisis of the late 2000s, policy makers have shown considerable interest in monitoring financial stability. Several central banks now publish indices of financial stress, which are essentially based upon market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-24 Paul Ormerod , Rickard Nyman , David Tuckett