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Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

A public firm's bankruptcy prediction is an important financial research problem because of the security price downside risks. Traditional methods rely on accounting metrics that suffer from shortcomings like window dressing and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Sridhar Ravula

The goal of this paper is to evaluate the informational content of sentiment extracted from news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based sentiment analysis that has two main characteristics: 1) we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Luca Barbaglia , Sergio Consoli , Sebastiano Manzan

Corporate bankruptcy impacts the functioning of the economy as it impacts its various stakeholders: Shareholders, financial and operational lenders, and the government. This paper aims to study the impact of a wide array of profitability,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-12 Adit Chopra , Abhi Bansal , Aryaman Wadhwa

Bankruptcy prediction is an important research area that heavily relies on data science. It aims to help investors, managers, and regulators better understand the operational status of corporations and predict potential financial risks in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Xinlin Wang , Zsófia Kräussl , Mats Brorsson

While many models are purposed for detecting the occurrence of significant events in financial systems, the task of providing qualitative detail on the developments is not usually as well automated. We present a deep learning approach for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

Stock market forecasting is very important in the planning of business activities. Stock price prediction has attracted many researchers in multiple disciplines including computer science, statistics, economics, finance, and operations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Dev Shah , Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine

Identifying risks associated with a company is important to investors and the well-being of the overall financial market. In this study, we build a computational framework to automatically extract company risk factors from news articles.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Jiaxin Pei , Soumya Vadlamannati , Liang-Kang Huang , Daniel Preotiuc-Pietro , Xinyu Hua

In an increasingly connected global market, news sentiment towards one company may not only indicate its own market performance, but can also be associated with a broader movement on the sentiment and performance of other companies from the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Xingchen Wan , Jie Yang , Slavi Marinov , Jan-Peter Calliess , Stefan Zohren , Xiaowen Dong

Bankruptcy is a legal procedure that claims a person or organization as a debtor. It is essential to ascertain the risk of bankruptcy at initial stages to prevent financial losses. In this perspective, different soft computing techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-13 Kalyan Nagaraj , Amulyashree Sridhar

It is widely speculated that auditors' public forecasts of bankruptcy are, at least in part, self-fulfilling prophecies in the sense that they might actually cause bankruptcies that would not have otherwise occurred. This conjecture is hard…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Demetrios Papakostas , P. Richard Hahn , Jared Murray , Frank Zhou , Joseph Gerakos

A growing number of people are changing the way they consume news, replacing the traditional physical newspapers and magazines by their virtual online versions or/and weblogs. The interactivity and immediacy present in online news are…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-04-17 Julio Reis , Fabrıcio Benevenuto , Pedro O. S. Vaz de Melo , Raquel Prates , Haewoon Kwak , Jisun An

The mainstream media has much leeway in what it chooses to cover and how it covers it. These choices have real-world consequences on what people know and their subsequent behaviors. However, the lack of objective measures to evaluate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Alexandria Leto , Elliot Pickens , Coen D. Needell , David Rothschild , Maria Leonor Pacheco

We develop a resource-efficient methodology for measuring economic outlook in news text that combines document embeddings with synthetic training data generated by large language models. Applied to 27 million news articles, the resulting…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Elliot Beck , Franziska Eckert , Linus Kühne , Helge Liebert , Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch

Efficient Market Hypothesis is the popular theory about stock prediction. With its failure much research has been carried in the area of prediction of stocks. This project is about taking non quantifiable data such as financial news…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-08 Joshi Kalyani , Prof. H. N. Bharathi , Prof. Rao Jyothi

Misinformation proliferates in the online sphere, with evident impacts on the political and social realms, influencing democratic discourse and posing risks to public health and safety. The corporate world is also a prime target for fake…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Ke Zhou , Sanja Scepanovic , Daniele Quercia

Models for bankruptcy prediction are useful in several real-world scenarios, and multiple research contributions have been devoted to the task, based on structured (numerical) as well as unstructured (textual) data. However, the lack of a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Henri Arno , Klaas Mulier , Joke Baeck , Thomas Demeester

Understanding what factors bring about socio-economic development may often suffer from the streetlight effect, of analyzing the effect of only those variables that have been measured and are therefore available for analysis. How do we…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Mehak Gupta , Shayan Saifi , Konark Verma , Kumari Rekha , Aaditeshwar Seth

Dynamical systems with components whose sizes evolve according to multiplicative stochastic rules have been recently combined with entry and exit processes. We show that the assumptions usually made in modeling exits are at odds with the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Corrado Di Guilmi , Edoardo Gaffeo , Mauro Gallegati

In the recent past, there were several works on the prediction of stock price using different methods. Sentiment analysis of news and tweets and relating them to the movement of stock prices have already been explored. But, when we talk…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Subhasis Dasgupta , Pratik Satpati , Ishika Choudhary , Jaydip Sen
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