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We present a model for generating probabilistic forecasts by combining kernel density estimation (KDE) and quantile regression techniques, as part of the probabilistic load forecasting track of the Global Energy Forecasting Competition…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-18 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of and alternative inference methods for kernel density estimation (KDE) for dyadic data. We first establish uniform convergence rates for dyadic KDE. Secondly, we propose a modified jackknife…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-16 Harold D. Chiang , Bing Yang Tan

While robust parameter estimation has been well studied in parametric density estimation, there has been little investigation into robust density estimation in the nonparametric setting. We present a robust version of the popular kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-18 Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton D. Scott

We propose a novel method for density estimation that leverages an estimated score function to debias kernel density estimation (SD-KDE). In our approach, each data point is adjusted by taking a single step along the score function with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Elliot L. Epstein , Rajat Dwaraknath , Thanawat Sornwanee , John Winnicki , Jerry Weihong Liu

In this paper we introduce an efficient method to unwrap multi-frequency phase estimates for time-of-flight ranging. The algorithm generates multiple depth hypotheses and uses a spatial kernel density estimate (KDE) to rank them. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Felix Järemo Lawin , Per-Erik Forssén , Hannes Ovrén

Machine learning models are increasingly used to predict material properties and accelerate atomistic simulations, but the reliability of their predictions depends on the representativeness of the training data. We present a scalable,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-20 Daniel Willimetz , Lukáš Grajciar

A Wishart kernel density estimator (KDE) is introduced for density estimation in the cone of positive definite matrices. The estimator is boundary-aware and mitigates the boundary bias suffered by conventional KDEs, while remaining simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Léo R. Belzile , Christian Genest , Frédéric Ouimet , Donald Richards

Kernel learning forward backward SDE filter is an iterative and adaptive meshfree approach to solve the nonlinear filtering problem. It builds from forward backward SDE for Fokker-Planker equation, which defines evolving density for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Yunzheng Lyu , Feng Bao

Kernel density estimators (KDEs) are ubiquitous tools for nonparametric estimation of probability density functions (PDFs), when data are obtained from unknown data generating processes. The KDEs that are typically available in software…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-07 Andrew T. Jones , Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

This tutorial provides a gentle introduction to kernel density estimation (KDE) and recent advances regarding confidence bands and geometric/topological features. We begin with a discussion of basic properties of KDE: the convergence rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 Yen-Chi Chen

Nonparametric estimation of copula density functions using kernel estimators presents significant challenges. One issue is the potential unboundedness of certain copula density functions at the corners of the unit square. Another is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Mathias N. Muia , Olivia Atutey , Mahmud Hasan

This work proposes a framework LGKDE that learns kernel density estimation for graphs. The key challenge in graph density estimation lies in effectively capturing both structural patterns and semantic variations while maintaining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Xudong Wang , Ziheng Sun , Chris Ding , Jicong Fan

We study the estimation, in Lp-norm, of density functions defined on [0,1]^d. We construct a new family of kernel density estimators that do not suffer from the so-called boundary bias problem and we propose a data-driven procedure based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Karine Bertin , Salima El Kolei , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

One key issue in several astrophysical problems is the evaluation of the density probability function underlying an observational discrete data set. We here review two non-parametric density estimators which recently appeared in the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Dario Fadda , Eric Slezak , Albert Bijaoui

Likelihood-free inference provides a framework for performing rigorous Bayesian inference using only forward simulations, properly accounting for all physical and observational effects that can be successfully included in the simulations.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-24 Justin Alsing , Tom Charnock , Stephen Feeney , Benjamin Wandelt

We introduce \emph{topological density estimation} (TDE), in which the multimodal structure of a probability density function is topologically inferred and subsequently used to perform bandwidth selection for kernel density estimation. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Steve Huntsman

Nonlocal kinetic energy density functionals (KEDFs) with density-dependent kernels are currently the most accurate functionals available for orbital-free density functional theory (OF-DFT) calculations. However, despite advances in…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-12-05 Yongshuo Chen , Cheng Ma , Boning Cui , Tian Cui , Wenhui Mi , Qiang Xu , Yanchao Wang , Yanming Ma

Kernel adaptive filtering (KAF) integrates traditional linear algorithms with kernel methods to generate nonlinear solutions in the input space. The standard approach relies on the representer theorem and the kernel trick to perform…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-16 Kan Li , Jose C. Principe

Consistency of the kernel density estimator requires that the kernel bandwidth tends to zero as the sample size grows. In this paper we investigate the question of whether consistency is possible when the bandwidth is fixed, if we consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Efrén Cruz Cortés , Clayton Scott

In the this paper, the authors propose to estimate the density of a targeted population with a weighted kernel density estimator (wKDE) based on a weighted sample. Bandwidth selection for wKDE is discussed. Three mean integrated squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-28 Bin Wang , Xiaofeng Wang