English
Related papers

Related papers: Planning as Inference in Epidemiological Models

200 papers

Combating an epidemic entails finding a plan that describes when and how to apply different interventions, such as mask-wearing mandates, vaccinations, school or workplace closures. An optimal plan will curb an epidemic with minimal loss of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Anh Mai , Nikunj Gupta , Azza Abouzied , Dennis Shasha

Game theory has been an effective tool in the control of disease spread and in suggesting optimal policies at both individual and area levels. In this AMS Notices article, we focus on the decision-making development for the intervention of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-19 Yao Xuan , Robert Balkin , Jiequn Han , Ruimeng Hu , Hector D. Ceniceros

In this research, we develop a framework to analyze the interaction between the economy and the Covid-19 pandemic using an extension of SIR epidemic model. At the outset, we assume there are two health related investments including general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Zachariah Sinkala , Vajira Manathunga , Bichaka Fayissa

Epidemic models often reflect characteristic features of infectious spreading processes by coupled non-linear differential equations considering different states of health (such as Susceptible, Infected, or Recovered). This compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dirk Helbing

Many real-world planning domains involve diverse information sources, external entities, and variable-reliability agents, all of which may impact the confidence, risk, and sensitivity of plans. Humans reviewing a plan may lack context about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Scott E. Friedman , Robert P. Goldman , Richard G. Freedman , Ugur Kuter , Christopher Geib , Jeffrey Rye

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

In order to model an epidemic, different approaches can be adopted. Mainly, the deterministic approach and the stochastic one. Recently, a large amount of literature has been published using the two approaches. The aim of this paper is to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-30 Mohamed Mehdaoui

Many Artificial Intelligence systems depend on the agent's updating its beliefs about the world on the basis of experience. Experiments constitute one type of experience, so scientific methodology offers a natural environment for examining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Harold P. Lehmann

In Artificial Intelligence, planning refers to an area of research that proposes to develop systems that can automatically generate a result set, in the form of an integrated decision-making system through a formal procedure, known as plan.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-20 Sofia Benbelkacem , Baghdad Atmani , Mohamed Benamina

Containment of epidemic outbreaks entails great societal and economic costs. Cost-effective containment strategies rely on efficiently identifying infected individuals, making the best possible use of the available testing resources.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Laura Natali , Saga Helgadottir , Onofrio M. Marago , Giovanni Volpe

Epidemic response planning is essential yet traditionally reliant on labor-intensive manual methods. This study aimed to design and evaluate EpiPlanAgent, an agent-based system using large language models (LLMs) to automate the generation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Kangkun Mao , Fang Xu , Jinru Ding , Yidong Jiang , Yujun Yao , Yirong Chen , Junming Liu , Xiaoqin Wu , Qian Wu , Xiaoyan Huang , Jie Xu

Motivated by chemical reaction rules, we introduce a rule-based epidemiological framework for the systematic mathematical modelling of future pandemics. Here we stress that we do not have a specific model in mind, but a whole collection of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-24 David Alonso , Steffen Bauer , Markus Kirkilionis , Lisa Maria Kreusser , Luca Sbano

Severe infectious diseases such as the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pose a huge threat to public health. Stringent control measures, such as school closures and stay-at-home orders, while having significant effects, also bring huge economic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Runzhe Wan , Xinyu Zhang , Rui Song

One way to investigate the precision of estimates likely to result from planned experiments and planned epidemiological studies is to simulate a large number of possible outcomes and analyse the sets of possible results. This appears to be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-28 G. K. Robinson , L. M. Ryan

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

AI agents are increasingly deployed as quasi-autonomous systems for specialized tasks, yet their potential as computational models of decision-making remains underexplored. We develop a generative AI agent to study repetitive policy…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Goshi Aoki , Navid Ghaffarzadegan

Model-based reinforcement learning methods often use learning only for the purpose of estimating an approximate dynamics model, offloading the rest of the decision-making work to classical trajectory optimizers. While conceptually simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Michael Janner , Yilun Du , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Sergey Levine

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Epidemic models are useful tools in the fight against infectious diseases, as they allow policy makers to test and compare various strategies to limit disease transmission while mitigating collateral damage on the economy. Epidemic models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-18 Joseph D. Peterson , Ronojoy Adhikari

A model based on a thermodynamic approach is proposed for predicting the dynamics of communicable epidemics in a city, when the epidemic is governed by controlling efforts of multiple scales so that an entropy is associated with the system.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2013-10-01 W. B. Wang , Z. N. Wu , Z. M. Cao , R. F. Hu
‹ Prev 1 3 4 5 6 7 10 Next ›