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Often the question arises whether $Y$ can be predicted based on $X$ using a certain model. Especially for highly flexible models such as neural networks one may ask whether a seemingly good prediction is actually better than fitting pure…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Michał Ciszewski , Jakob Söhl , Ton Leenen , Bart van Trigt , Geurt Jongbloed

In the problem of composite hypothesis testing, identifying the potential uniformly most powerful (UMP) unbiased test is of great interest. Beyond typical hypothesis settings with exponential family, it is usually challenging to prove the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Recent years have seen tremendous advances in the theory and application of sequential experiments. While these experiments are not always designed with hypothesis testing in mind, researchers may still be interested in performing tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-29 Karun Adusumilli

Monte Carlo permutation tests are a cornerstone of valid, model-free statistical inference. A widely held practical intuition is that increasing the number of sampled permutations improves test performance, in particular that statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-06 Suman Cha , Seongchan Lee , Antonin Schrab , Ilmun Kim

We consider the problem of sequentially testing a simple null hypothesis versus a composite alternative hypothesis that consists of a finite set of densities. We study sequential tests that are based on thresholding of mixture-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this paper, we consider the fundamental problem of testing for monotone trend in a time series. While the term "trend" is commonly used and has an intuitive meaning, it is first crucial to specify its exact meaning in a hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

In this paper, our interest is in the problem of simultaneous hypothesis testing when the test statistics corresponding to the individual hypotheses are possibly correlated. Specifically, we consider the case when the test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Anupam Kundu , Subir Kumar Bhandari

A central goal in designing clinical trials is to find the test that maximizes power (or equivalently minimizes required sample size) for finding a false null hypothesis subject to the constraint of type I error. When there is more than one…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Ruth Heller , Abba Krieger , Saharon Rosset

In the big data era, the need to reevaluate traditional statistical methods is paramount due to the challenges posed by vast datasets. While larger samples theoretically enhance accuracy and hypothesis testing power without increasing false…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-09 Xuekui Zhang , Li Xing , Jing Zhang , Soojeong Kim

We study the detection of a change in the covariance matrix of $n$ independent sub-Gaussian random variables of dimension $p$. Our first contribution is to show that $\log\log(8n)$ is the exact minimax testing rate for a change in variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Per August Jarval Moen

A common problem in genetics is that of testing whether a set of highly dependent gene expressions differ between two populations, typically in a high-dimensional setting where the data dimension is larger than the sample size. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

Testing for association or dependence between pairs of random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics. In some applications, data are subject to selection bias that causes dependence between observations even when it is absent from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Yaniv Tenzer , Micha Mandel , Or Zuk

Randomization tests rely on simple data transformations and possess an appealing robustness property. In addition to being finite-sample valid if the data distribution is invariant under the transformation, these tests can be asymptotically…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Panos Toulis

Permutation testing is a non-parametric method for obtaining the max null distribution used to compute corrected $p$-values that provide strong control of false positives. In neuroimaging, however, the computational burden of running such…

We develop a systematic, omnibus approach to goodness-of-fit testing for parametric distributional models when the variable of interest is only partially observed due to censoring and/or truncation. In many such designs, tests based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

This paper proposes a max-test for testing (possibly infinitely) many zero parameter restrictions in an extremum estimation framework. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many empirical loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Jonathan B. Hill

We study a linear observation model with an unknown permutation called \textit{permuted/shuffled linear regression}, where responses and covariates are mismatched and the permutation forms a discrete, factorial-size parameter. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Hirofumi Ota , Masaaki Imaizumi

Comparing two groups under different conditions is ubiquitous in the biomedical sciences. In many cases, samples from the two groups can be naturally paired; for example a pair of samples may come from the same individual under the two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Martin J. Zhang , Meisam Razaviyayn , David Tse

We investigate the asymptotic properties of permutations drawn from the Luce model, a natural probabilistic framework in which permutations are generated sequentially by sampling without replacement, with selection probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Jacopo Borga , Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis