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Stochastic kinetic models describe systems across biology, chemistry, and physics where discrete events and small populations render deterministic approximations inadequate. Parameter inference and inverse design in these systems require…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-06 Francesco Mottes , Qian-Ze Zhu , Michael P. Brenner

The chemical master equation (CME), which describes the discrete and stochastic molecule number dynamics associated with biological processes like transcription, is difficult to solve analytically. It is particularly hard to solve for…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-23 John J. Vastola , Gennady Gorin , Lior Pachter , William R. Holmes

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

We study the long-term behavior of two piecewise-deterministic Markov processes used to model stochastic gene regulatory networks with bursting dynamics. Under regularity assumptions on the jump rate, we prove the existence and uniqueness…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Mathilde Gaillard , Ulysse Herbach

Stochasticity in gene expression can give rise to fluctuations in protein levels and lead to phenotypic variation across a population of genetically identical cells. Recent experiments indicate that bursting and feedback mechanisms play…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Niraj Kumar , Thierry Platini , Rahul V. Kulkarni

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

In this paper we study an important global regulation mechanism of transcription of biological cells using specific macro-molecules, 6S RNAs. The functional property of 6S RNAs is of blocking the transcription of RNAs when the environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-22 Vincent Fromion , Philippe Robert , Jana Zaherddine

Gene expression consists in the synthesis of proteins from the information encoded on DNA. One of the two main steps of gene expression is the translation of messenger RNA (mRNA) into polypeptide sequences of amino acids. Here, by taking…

Stochastic modeling and simulation provide powerful predictive methods for the intrinsic understanding of fundamental mechanisms in complex biochemical networks. Typically, such mathematical models involve networks of coupled jump…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-02 Yannis Pantazis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Dionisios G. Vlachos

In this manuscript we propose a mathematical framework to couple transcription and translation in which mRNA production is described by a set of master equations while the dynamics of protein density is governed by a random differential…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-30 Guilherme C. P. Innocentini , Michael Forger , Ovidiu Radulescu , Fernando Antoneli

We introduce a parameter estimation method that utilizes microscopic data, specifically averages and correlations of selected microscopic observables, to determine the parameters of a stochastic differential equation governing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Carlos Monago , J. A. de la Torre , Pep Español

From the response to external stimuli to cell division and death, the dynamics of living cells is based on the expression of specific genes at specific times. The decision when to express a gene is implemented by the binding and unbinding…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Johannes Berg

Stochasticity in gene expression gives rise to fluctuations in protein levels across a population of genetically identical cells. Such fluctuations can lead to phenotypic variation in clonal populations, hence there is considerable interest…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Hodjat Pendar , Thierry Platini , Rahul V. Kulkarni

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Parameter sensitivity analysis is a powerful tool in the building and analysis of biochemical network models. For stochastic simulations, parameter sensitivity analysis can be computationally expensive, requiring multiple simulations for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 Patrick B. Warren , Rosalind J. Allen

We consider a continuous-time Markov chain model of SIR disease dynamics with two levels of mixing. For this so-called stochastic households model, we provide two methods for inferring the model parameters---governing within-household…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 James N. Walker , Joshua V. Ross , Andrew J. Black

Many probabilistic inference problems such as stochastic filtering or the computation of rare event probabilities require model analysis under initial and terminal constraints. We propose a solution to this bridging problem for the widely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

Stochastic Process Model has many applications in analysis of longitudinal biodemographic data. Such data contain various physiological variables (sometimes known as covariates). It also can potentially contain genetic information available…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-31 Ilya Zhbannikov , Konstantin Arbeev , Anatoliy Yashin

Motivation: Assigning RNA-seq reads to their transcript of origin is a fundamental task in transcript expression estimation. Where ambiguities in assignments exist due to transcripts sharing sequence, e.g. alternative isoforms or alleles,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-01 James Hensman , Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Peter Glaus , Antti Honkela , Magnus Rattray