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We provide a prescription to train optimal machine-learning-based event selectors and categorizers that maximize the statistical significance of a potential signal excess in high energy physics (HEP) experiments, as quantified by any of six…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-11-28 Konstantin K. Matchev , Prasanth Shyamsundar

We propose an approach to rapidly find the upper limit of separability between datasets that is directly applicable to HEP classification problems. The most common HEP classification task is to use $n$ values (variables) for an object…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2017-09-01 Nicholas Carrara , Jesse A. Ernst

Monte Carlo Event Generators are important tools for the understanding of physics at particle colliders like the LHC. In order to best predict a wide variety of observables, the optimization of parameters in the Event Generators based on…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-02-19 Johannes Bellm , Leif Gellersen

The estimation of the probability of rare events is an important task in reliability and risk assessment. We consider failure events that are expressed in terms of a limit state function, which depends on the solution of a partial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Fabian Wagner , Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

A key difficulty that arises from real event data is imprecision in the recording of event time-stamps. In many cases, retaining event times with a high precision is expensive due to the sheer volume of activity. Combined with practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Leigh Shlomovich , Edward Cohen , Niall Adams , Lekha Patel

We study the problem of estimating the \emph{value} of the largest mean among K distributions via samples from them (rather than estimating \emph{which} distribution has the largest mean), which arises from various machine learning tasks…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-30 Tuan Ngo Nguyen , Jay Barrett , Kwang-Sung Jun

$\textbf{Objective}$: To develop a multi-channel device event segmentation and feature extraction algorithm that is robust to changes in data distribution. $\textbf{Methods}$: We introduce an adaptive transfer learning algorithm to classify…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Xichen She , Yaya Zhai , Ricardo Henao , Christopher W. Woods , Christopher Chiu , Geoffrey S. Ginsburg , Peter X. K. Song , Alfred O. Hero

Model discrepancy, defined as the difference between model predictions and reality, is ubiquitous in computational models for physical systems. It is common to derive partial differential equations (PDEs) from first principles physics, but…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

Demand forecasting in competitive, uncertain business environments requires models that can integrate multiple evaluation perspectives rather than being restricted to hyperparameter optimization based on a single metric. This traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Adolfo González , Víctor Parada

The application of standard sufficient dimension reduction methods for reducing the dimension space of predictors without losing regression information requires inverting the covariance matrix of the predictors. This has posed a number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Kabir Opeyemi Olorede , Waheed Babatunde Yahya

Extracting maximal information from experimental data requires access to the likelihood function, which however is never directly available for complex experiments like those performed at high energy colliders. Theoretical predictions are…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-08-11 Siyu Chen , Alfredo Glioti , Giuliano Panico , Andrea Wulzer

Accurate and efficient estimation of rare events probabilities is of significant importance, since often the occurrences of such events have widespread impacts. The focus in this work is on precisely quantifying these probabilities, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou , Hamed Nikbakht , Elsayed Eshra

In the domain of time series analysis, particularly in event detection tasks, current methodologies predominantly rely on segmentation-based approaches, which predict the class label for each individual timesteps and use the changepoints of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Clark Peng , Tolga Dinçer

To address the challenges of imbalanced multi-class datasets typically used for rare event detection in critical cyber-physical systems, we propose an optimal, efficient, and adaptable mixed integer programming (MIP) ensemble weighting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Georgios Tertytchny , Georgios L. Stavrinides , Maria K. Michael

Complex event processing (CEP) is widely employed to detect occurrences of predefined combinations (patterns) of events in massive data streams. As new events are accepted, they are matched using some type of evaluation structure, commonly…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Ilya Kolchinsky , Assaf Schuster

Accurate Monte Carlo (MC) modelling in high-energy physics is challenging, particularly in complex scenarios where simulations fail to reproduce observed data. In practice, experimental information is often limited to one-dimensional (1D)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Matthias Schott , Lucie Flek

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are a class of point processes that can account for complex temporal dynamics among event sequences. In this work, we study the accuracy and computational efficiency of three classes of algorithms which,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodríguez

Modern deep neural networks achieved remarkable progress in medical image segmentation tasks. However, it has recently been observed that they tend to produce overconfident estimates, even in situations of high uncertainty, leading to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Agostina Larrazabal , Cesar Martinez , Jose Dolz , Enzo Ferrante

There has been a recent explosion in research into machine-learning-based generative modeling to tackle computational challenges for simulations in high energy physics (HEP). In order to use such alternative simulators in practice, we need…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-04-24 Raghav Kansal , Anni Li , Javier Duarte , Nadezda Chernyavskaya , Maurizio Pierini , Breno Orzari , Thiago Tomei

The analysis of results from HEP experiments often involves the estimates of the composition of the binned data samples, based on Monte Carlo simulations of various sources. Due to a finite statistic of MC samples they have statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-22 Petr Mandrik
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