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Predicting future behavior of other traffic participants is an essential task that needs to be solved by automated vehicles and human drivers alike to achieve safe and situationaware driving. Modern approaches to vehicles trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Florian Mirus , Terrence C. Stewart , Jorg Conradt

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

This paper proposes an interpretable user-behavior-based (UBB) network traffic prediction (NTP) method. Based on user behavior, a weekly traffic demand profile can be naturally sorted into three categories, i.e., weekday, Saturday, and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Liangzhi Wang , Jiliang Zhang , Zitian Zhang , Jie Zhang

The main contribution reported in the paper is a novel paradigm through which mobile cellular traffic forecasting is made substantially more accurate. Specifically, by incorporating freely available road metrics we characterise the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Natalia Vassileva Vesselinova

Estimating entropy production from real observation data can be difficult due to finite resolution in both space and time and finite measurement statistics. We characterize the statistical error introduced by finite sample size and compare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Jonas H. Fritz , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

A classic network tomography problem is estimation of properties of the distribution of route traffic volumes based on counts taken on the network links. We consider inference for a general class of models for integer-valued traffic. Model…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-03 Martin L. Hazelton

Trajectory prediction of aerial vehicles is a key requirement in applications ranging from missile guidance to UAV collision avoidance. While most prediction methods assume deterministic target motion, real-world targets often exhibit…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Marc Schneider , Renato Loureiro , Torbjørn Cunis , Walter Fichter

A commonly-used representation for motion prediction of actors is a sequence of waypoints (comprising positions and orientations) for each actor at discrete future time-points. While this approach is simple and flexible, it can exhibit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Zhaoen Su , Chao Wang , Henggang Cui , Nemanja Djuric , Carlos Vallespi-Gonzalez , David Bradley

Traffic dynamics is universally crucial in analyzing and designing almost any network. This article introduces a novel theoretical approach to analyzing network traffic dynamics. This theory's machinery is based on the notion of traffic…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Matin Macktoobian , Zhan Shu , Qing Zhao

Source traffic prediction is one of the main challenges of enabling predictive resource allocation in machine type communications (MTC). In this paper, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based deep learning approach is proposed for…

In modern transportation systems, traffic congestion is inevitable. To minimize the loss caused by congestion, various control strategies have been developed most of which rely on observing real-time traffic conditions. As vintage traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-11 Suyash C. Vishnoi , Sebastian A. Nugroho , Ahmad F. Taha , Christian Claudel , Taposh Banerjee

Many learning algorithms can be represented as Markov processes, and understanding their generalization error is a central topic in learning theory. For specific continuous-time noisy algorithms, a prominent analysis technique relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Benjamin Dupuis , Maxime Haddouche , George Deligiannidis , Umut Simsekli

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

In this paper we revisit the concept of mobility entropy. Over time, the structure of spatial interactions among urban centres tends to become more complex and evolves from centralised models to more scattered origin and destination…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-30 Valentina Marin , Carlos Molinero , Elsa Arcaute

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in transportation management and planning. The main challenges for traffic flow forecasting are that (1) as the length of prediction time increases, the accuracy of prediction will decrease; (2)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Jianli Xiao , Baichao Long

Trajectory planning in autonomous driving is highly dependent on predicting the emergent behavior of other road users. Learning-based methods are currently showing impressive results in simulation-based challenges, with transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Lars Ullrich , Alex McMaster , Knut Graichen

We study the existing algorithms that solve the multidimensional martingale optimal transport. Then we provide a new algorithm based on entropic regularization and Newton's method. Then we provide theoretical convergence rate results and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Hadrien De March

Large language models achieve strong reasoning performance, yet existing decoding strategies either explore blindly (random sampling) or redundantly (independent multi-sampling). We propose Entropy-Tree, a tree-based decoding method that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Longxuan Wei , Yubo Zhang , Zijiao Zhang , Zhihu Wang , Shiwan Zhao , Tianyu Huang , Huiting Zhao , Chenfei Liu , Shenao Zhang , Junchi Yan

Transporting findings from a study population to a target population is central to evidence-based decision-making in real-world settings. Most existing methods require individual-level data from both populations to account for covariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Ying Sheng , Yifei Sun , Chiung-Yu Huang

The optimal information feedback has a significant effect on many socioeconomic systems like stock market and traffic systems aiming to make full use of resources. In this paper, we studied dynamics of traffic flow with real-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-29 Dong Chuan-Fei , Ma Xu , Wang Guan-Wen , Sun Xiao-Yan , Wang Bing-Hong