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We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Markus Bibinger , Markus Reiß

This work applies a quantitative metric well-known to the data assimilation community to a new context in order to capture the relative representativeness of non-simultaneous or non-co-located observations and quantify how these…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-08 C. E. Powell , Christopher S. Ruf , Scott Gleason , Scot C. R. Rafkin

In spatio-temporal analysis, we often record data at specific time intervals but with varying spatial locations between these timepoints. We propose a conditional model to analyze such spatio-temporal data that accommodates the dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Subhrajyoty Roy , Soudeep Deb , Sayar Karmakar , Rishideep Roy

In this paper we explore a covariance spectral modelling strategy for spatial-temporal processes which involves a spectral approach for time but a covariance approach for space.It facilitates the analysis of coherence between the temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-17 A. M. Mosammam , J. T. Kent

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Vincent Margot , Jean-Patrick Baudry , Frédéric Guilloux , Olivier Wintenberger

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

The problem of estimating missing fragments of curves from a functional sample has been widely considered in the literature. However, a majority of the reconstruction methods rely on estimating the covariance matrix or the components of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez , Hanlin Shang

Most multivariate outlier detection procedures ignore the spatial dependency of observations, which is present in many real data sets from various application areas. This paper introduces a new outlier detection method that accounts for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Patricia Puchhammer , Peter Filzmoser

Spatial processes observed in various fields, such as climate and environmental science, often occur on a large scale and demonstrate spatial nonstationarity. Fitting a Gaussian process with a nonstationary Mat\'ern covariance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Pratik Nag , Yiping Hong , Sameh Abdulah , Ghulam A. Qadir , Marc G. Genton , Ying Sun

This paper revisits the simple, but empirically salient, problem of inference on a real-valued parameter that is partially identified through upper and lower bounds with asymptotically normal estimators. A simple confidence interval is…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-01 Jörg Stoye

The aim of this paper is to introduce new statistical criterions for estimation, suitable for inference in models with common continuous support. This proposal is in the direct line of a renewed interest for divergence based inference tools…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Michel Broniatowski , Aida Toma , Igor Vajda

The large underlying assumption of climate models today relies on the basis of a "confident" initial condition, a reasonably plausible snapshot of the Earth for which all future predictions depend on. However, given the inherently chaotic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Valerie Tsao , Nathaniel W. Chaney , Manolis Veveakis

We take a different look at the problem of testing the independence of two metric-space-valued random variables using the distance correlation. Instead of testing if the distance correlation vanishes exactly, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Holger Dette , Marius Kroll

Functional data analysis has been extensively conducted. In this study, we consider a partially functional model, under which some covariates are scalars and have linear effects, while some other variables are functional and have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Weijuan Liang , Qingzhao Zhang , Shuangge Ma

Modelling multivariate spatio-temporal data with complex dependency structures is a challenging task but can be simplified by assuming that the original variables are generated from independent latent components. If these components are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Mika Sipilä , Claudia Cappello , Sandra De Iaco , Klaus Nordhausen , Sara Taskinen

Any experiment with climate models relies on a potentially large set of spatio-temporal boundary conditions. These can represent both the initial state of the system and/or forcings driving the model output throughout the experiment. Whilst…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Lachlan Astfalck , Daniel Williamson , Niall Gandy , Lauren Gregoire , Ruza Ivanovic

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

The abundance of data produced daily from large variety of sources has boosted the need of novel approaches on causal inference analysis from observational data. Observational data often contain noisy or missing entries. Moreover, causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-14 Fani Tsapeli , Peter Tino , Mirco Musolesi

Experimentation platforms in industry must often deal with customer trust issues. Platforms must prove the validity of their claims as well as catch issues that arise. As a central quantity estimated by experimentation platforms, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kedar Karhadkar , Jack Klys , Daniel Ting , Artem Vorozhtsov , Houssam Nassif

This paper studies the robustness of observability of a linear time-invariant system under sensor failures from a computational perspective. To be precise, the problem of determining the minimum number of sensors whose removal can destroy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Yuan Zhang , Yuanqing Xia , Kun Liu