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Related papers: A Modified Global Climate Simulation Model

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We analyze the source of inter-model scatter in the surface temperature response to quadrupling CO2 in two sets of GCM simulations from the Tropical Rain Belts with an Annual cycle and a Continent Model Intercomparison Project (TRACMIP;…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-07-28 Michela Biasutti , Aiko Voigt , Benjamin R. Lavon , Jacob Scheff

With the press of global climate change, extreme weather and sudden weather changes are becoming increasingly common. To maintain a comfortable indoor environment and minimize the contribution of the building to climate change as much as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Liping Sun , Yucheng Guo , Siliang Lu , Zhenzhen Li

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

Adaptation-relevant predictions of climate change are often derived by combining climate model simulations in a multi-model ensemble. Model evaluation methods used in performance-based ensemble weighting schemes have limitations in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-19 Mala Virdee , Markus Kaiser , Emily Shuckburgh , Carl Henrik Ek , Ieva Kazlauskaite

Stellar evolution codes play a major role in present-day astrophysics, yet they share common issues. In this work we seek to remedy some of those by the use of results from realistic and highly detailed 3D hydrodynamical simulations of…

Over the past decade, it has become clear that the radiative response to surface temperature change depends on the spatially varying structure in the temperature field, a phenomenon known as the "pattern effect''. The pattern effect is…

We compare the performance of a recently proposed empirical climate model based on astronomical harmonics against all available general circulation climate models (GCM) used by the IPCC (2007) to interpret the 20th century global surface…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-01-09 Nicola Scafetta

Urban areas are a high-stake target of climate change mitigation and adaptation measures. To understand, predict and improve the energy performance of cities, the scientific community develops numerical models that describe how they…

We present a new, elementary way to obtain axially symmetric Gaussian processes on the sphere, in order to accommodate for the directional anisotropy of global climate data in geostatistical analysis.

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-28 Nil Venet , Alessandro Fassò

The pseudo-conformal scenario is an alternative to inflation in which the early universe is described by an approximate conformal field theory on flat, Minkowski space. Some fields acquire a time-dependent expectation value, which breaks…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-01-12 Kurt Hinterbichler , Austin Joyce , Justin Khoury

Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and…

In order to predict the more accurate shape information of the melt pool in Selective Laser Melting (SLM), a new finite element temperature field simulations model is proposed. The simulations use a new heat source model that takes into…

Applied Physics · Physics 2021-06-08 Zhi Huang , Weibo Jia , Haoming Wang , Zhengtong Yang , Chao Li , Jie Liang , Yue Zhong

Quantifying uncertainty in future climate projections is hindered by the prohibitive computational cost of running physical climate models, which severely limits the availability of training data. We propose a data-efficient framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Global climate projections rely on computationally demanding Earth System Models (ESMs), which are typically limited to coarse spatial resolutions due to their high cost. To obtain high-resolution projections for regions of interest, it is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Erik Larsson , Ramon Fuentes-Franco , Mikhail Ivanov , Fredrik Lindsten

The state of the art for physical hazard prediction from weather and climate requires expensive km-scale numerical simulations driven by coarser resolution global inputs. Here, a generative diffusion architecture is explored for downscaling…

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

Global warming, the phenomenon of increasing global average temperature in the recent decades, is receiving wide attention due to its very significant adverse effects on climate. Whether global warming will continue even in the future, is a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Climate models are essential for assessing the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on our changing climate and the resulting increase in the frequency and severity of natural disasters. Despite the widespread acceptance of climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 Vsevolod Morozov , Artem Galliamov , Aleksandr Lukashevich , Antonina Kurdukova , Yury Maximov

Many regions across the globe broke their surface temperature records in recent years, further sparking concerns about the impending arrival of "tipping points" later in the 21st century. This study analyzes observed global surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-13 Nicole Ma , Jonathan H. Jiang , Kennard Hou , Yun Lin , Trung Vu , Philip E. Rosen , Yu Gu , Kristen A. Fahy