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In medicine, survival analysis studies the time duration to events of interest such as mortality. One major challenge is how to deal with multiple competing events (e.g., multiple disease diagnoses). In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Zifeng Wang , Jimeng Sun

The focus of this work is on developing probabilistic models for user activity in social networks by incorporating the social network influence as perceived by the user. For this, we propose a coupled Hidden Markov Model, where each user's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-10 Vasanthan Raghavan , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Bayesian nonparametric marginal methods are very popular since they lead to fairly easy implementation due to the formal marginalization of the infinite-dimensional parameter of the model. However, the straightforwardness of these methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

We used survival analysis to model user disengagement in three distinct questions-and-answering communities in this work. We used the complete historical data of {Politics, Data Science, Computer Science} Stack Exchange communities from…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Hassan Abedi Firouzjaei

Accurately predicting the time of occurrence of an event of interest is a critical problem in longitudinal data analysis. One of the main challenges in this context is the presence of instances whose event outcomes become unobservable after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-26 Ping Wang , Yan Li , Chandan K. Reddy

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Weijie Sun , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

Many panel studies collect refreshment samples---new, randomly sampled respondents who complete the questionnaire at the same time as a subsequent wave of the panel. With appropriate modeling, these samples can be leveraged to correct…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-08 Yajuan Si , Jerome P. Reiter , D. Sunshine Hillygus

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

There has been increasing interest in modeling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. In this paper, we proposed a Bayesian hierarchical deep neural networks model for modeling and prediction of survival data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Dai Feng , Lili Zhao

Complex data features, such as unmodelled censored event times and variables with time-dependent effects, are common in cancer recurrence studies and pose challenges for Bayesian survival modelling. Current methodologies for predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Saku Suorsa , Aki Vehtari

In recurrent event studies, panel binary data arise when subjects are observed at discrete time points and only the recurrent event status within each observation window is recorded. Such data frequently occur in longitudinal studies due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Pavithra Hariharan , P. G. Sankaran

The number of recurrent events before a terminating event is often of interest. For instance, death terminates an individual's process of rehospitalizations and the number of rehospitalizations is an important indicator of economic cost. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Willem van den Boom , Maria De Iorio , Marta Tallarita

Estimating the probability of rare channel conditions is a central challenge in ultra-reliable wireless communication, where random events, such as deep fades, can cause sudden variations in the channel quality. This paper proposes a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-08 Tobias Kallehauge , Anders E. Kalør , Pablo Ramírez-Espinosa , Christophe Biscio , Petar Popovski

Observational studies of recurrent event rates are common in biomedical statistics. Broadly, the goal is to estimate differences in event rates under two treatments within a defined target population over a specified followup window.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Arman Oganisian , Anthony Girard , Jon A. Steingrimsson , Patience Moyo

The goal of causal mediation analysis, often described within the potential outcomes framework, is to decompose the effect of an exposure on an outcome of interest along different causal pathways. Using the assumption of sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Lexi Rene , Antonio R. Linero , Elizabeth Slate

This research develops a Bayesian framework for analyzing failure times using the Weibull distribution, addressing challenges in prior selection due to the lack of conjugate priors and multi-dimensional sufficient statistics. We propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Tobias Oketch , Mohammad Sepehrifar

User response prediction, which models the user preference w.r.t. the presented items, plays a key role in online services. With two-decade rapid development, nowadays the cumulated user behavior sequences on mature Internet service…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Yuchen Fang , Weinan Zhang , Lei Zheng , Weijie Bian , Guorui Zhou , Jian Xu , Yong Yu , Xiaoqiang Zhu , Kun Gai

This study proposes a mixture cure model that latently divides a population based on event occurrence within a finite time horizon. Conventional models rely on event occurrence over an infinite horizon, introducing untestable assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yuji Komiyama , Yasumasa Matsuda , Masakazu Ishihara

Massive Open Online Course (MOOC) platforms incorporate large course catalogs from which individual students may register multiple courses. We performed a network-based analysis of student achievement, considering how course-course…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Edwin H. Wintermute , Matthieu Cisel , Ariel B. Lindner

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Guillaume Ausset , Tom Ciffreo , Francois Portier , Stephan Clémençon , Timothée Papin