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Stock market prediction has been an important topic for investors, researchers, and analysts. Because it is affected by too many factors, stock market prediction is a difficult task to handle. In this study, we propose a novel method that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Anil Berk Altuner , Zeynep Hilal Kilimci

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

The stock market has been a popular topic of interest in the recent past. The growth in the inflation rate has compelled people to invest in the stock and commodity markets and other areas rather than saving. Further, the ability of Deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Priyank Sonkiya , Vikas Bajpai , Anukriti Bansal

This paper presents a framework of imitating the principal investor's behavior for optimal pricing and hedging options. We construct a non-deterministic Markov decision process for modeling stock price change driven by the principal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-14 Xin Jin

This paper captures irregularities in financial time series data, particularly stock prices, in the presence of COVID-19 shock. We conjectured that jumps and irregularities are embedded in stock data due to the pandemic shock, which brings…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Leonard Mushunje , David Allen , Shelton Peiris

We present a general computational framework for solving continuous-time financial market equilibria under minimal modeling assumptions while incorporating realistic financial frictions, such as trading costs, and supporting multiple…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Anastasis Kratsios , Xiaofei Shi , Qiang Sun , Zhanhao Zhang

In recent years, quantitative investment methods combined with artificial intelligence have attracted more and more attention from investors and researchers. Existing related methods based on the supervised learning are not very suitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Sihang Chen , Weiqi Luo , Chao Yu

The introduction of electronic trading platforms effectively changed the organisation of traditional systemic trading from quote-driven markets into order-driven markets. Its convenience led to an exponentially increasing amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Yanqing Ma , Carmine Ventre , Maria Polukarov

Modeling financial data often relies on assumptions that may prove insufficient or unrealistic in practice. The Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) model is frequently employed to represent stock price processes. This study investigates whether…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Dennis Lartey Quayesam , Anani Lotsi , Felix Okoe Mettle

This paper studies the pricing of European-style Asian options when the price dynamics of the underlying risky asset are assumed to follow a Markov- modulated geometric Brownian motion; that is, the appreciation rate and the volatility of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-22 Leunglung Chan , Song-Ping Zhu

We propose a simple model for the behaviour of longterm investors on a stock market, consisting of three particles, which represent the current price of the stock and the opinion of the buyers, respectively sellers, about the right trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-27 Alexander Weiss

We propose a class of Markovian agent based models for the time evolution of a share price in an interactive market. The models rely on a microscopic description of a market of buyers and sellers who change their opinion about the stock…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Anton Bovier , Jiri Cerny , Ostap Hryniv

In the survey we consider the case studies on sales time series forecasting, the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series using time trend correction, dynamic price and supply optimization using Q-learning, Bitcoin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

This study presents a long-term alternative formula for stock price variation described by a geometric Brownian motion on the basis of median instead of mean or expected values. The proposed method is motivated by the observation made in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-06 Takuya Okabe , Jin Yoshimura

Dynamic pricing is the practice of adjusting the selling price of a product to maximize a firm's revenue by responding to market demand. The literature typically distinguishes between two settings: infinite inventory, where the firm has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Anush Anand , Pranav Agrawal , Tejas Bodas

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu

Stock selection attempts to rank a list of stocks for optimizing investment decision making, aiming at minimizing investment risks while maximizing profit returns. Recently, researchers have developed various (recurrent) neural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-31 Qiang Gao , Xinzhu Zhou , Kunpeng Zhang , Li Huang , Siyuan Liu , Fan Zhou

Predicting the prices of stocks at any stock market remains a quest for many investors and researchers. Those who trade at the stock market tend to use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in their predictions. These methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos Martínez