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The generic identification problem is to decide whether a stochastic process $(X_t)$ is a hidden Markov process and if yes to infer its parameters for all but a subset of parametrizations that form a lower-dimensional subvariety in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Alexander Schönhuth

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We give a short overview of recent results on a specific class of Markov process: the Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). We first recall the definition of these processes and give some general results. On more specific cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Romain Azaïs , Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Alexandre Genadot , Nathalie Krell , Pierre-André Zitt

We present the elliptical processes -- a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsumes the Gaussian process and the Student-t process. This generalization includes a range of new fat-tailed behaviors yet retains computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-03 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas Schön

The generation of random spatial data on a computer is an important tool for understanding the behavior of spatial processes. In this paper we describe how to generate realizations from the main types of spatial processes, including…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-05 Dirk P. Kroese , Zdravko I. Botev

We provide a general framework for dual representations of Laplace transforms of Markov processes. Such representations state that the Laplace transform of a finite-dimensional distribution of a Markov process can be expressed in terms of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Alexey Kuznetsov , Yizao Wang

Finding the correct encoding for a generic dynamical system's trajectory is a complicated task: the symbolic sequence needs to preserve the invariant properties from the system's trajectory. In theory, the solution to this problem is found…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-04-18 Nicolás Rubido , Celso Grebogi , Murilo S. Baptista

We consider fragmentation processes with values in the space of marked partitions of $\mathbb{N}$, i.e. partitions where each block is decorated with a nonnegative real number. Assuming that the marks on distinct blocks evolve as…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Jean-Jil Duchamps

A Markov network characterizes the conditional independence structure, or Markov property, among a set of random variables. Existing work focuses on specific families of distributions (e.g., exponential families) and/or certain structures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Yewen Fan , Kun Zhang

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

Consider a sequence (Z_n,Z_n^M) of bivariate L\'evy processes, such that Z_n is a spectrally positive L\'evy process with finite variation, and Z_n^M is the counting process of marks in {0,1} carried by the jumps of Z_n. The study of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Cécile Delaporte

We study the loop clusters induced by Poissonian ensembles of Markov loops on a finite or countable graph (Markov loops can be viewed as excursions of Markov chains with a random starting point, up to re-rooting). Poissonian ensembles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Yves Le Jan , Sophie Lemaire

In this paper, we propose novel Gaussian process-gated hierarchical mixtures of experts (GPHMEs). Unlike other mixtures of experts with gating models linear in the input, our model employs gating functions built with Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

The time evolution of the one-point probability vector of stochastic processes and quantum processes for $N$-level systems have been unified. Hence, quantum states and quantum operations can be regarded as generalizations of the one-point…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-03 Bilal Canturk

The paper addresses one-dimensional transport in a Goupillaud medium (a layered medium in which the layer thickness is proportional to the propagation speed), as a prototypical case of wave propagation in random media. Suitable stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Michael Oberguggenberger , Martin Schwarz

L\'evy processes on bialgebras are families of infinitely divisible representations. We classify the generators of L\'evy processes on the compact forms of the quantum algebras $U_q(g)$, where $g$ is a simple Lie algebra. Then we show how…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. K. Dobrev , H. -D. Doebner , U. Franz , R. Schott

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We present a simple and general framework to simulate statistically correct realizations of a system of non-Markovian discrete stochastic processes. We give the exact analytical solution and a practical an efficient algorithm alike the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-10-21 Marian Boguna , Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral , M. Angeles Serrano

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner