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We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

Detecting and localizing change points in sequential data is of interest in many areas of application. Various notions of change points have been proposed, such as changes in mean, variance, or the linear regression coefficient. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Shimeng Huang , Jonas Peters , Niklas Pfister

We present a unified treatment of sequential measurements of two conjugate observables. Our approach is to derive a mathematical structure theorem for all the relevant covariant instruments. As a consequence of this result, we show that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-06-23 Claudio Carmeli , Teiko Heinosaari , Alessandro Toigo

We introduce a contextual quantum system comprising mutually complementary observables organized into two or more collections of pseudocontexts with the same probability sums of outcomes. These pseudocontexts constitute non-orthogonal bases…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-05 Mirko Navara , Karl Svozil

A dynamical quantum model assigns an eigenstate to a specified observable even when no measurement is made, and gives a stochastic evolution rule for that eigenstate. Such a model yields a distribution over classical histories of a quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Scott Aaronson

Quantum measure theory can be introduced as a histories based reformulation (and generalisation) of Copenhagen quantum mechanics in the image of classical stochastic theories. These classical models lend themselves to a simple…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-06-02 Yousef Ghazi-Tabatabai

We provide a framework and explicit construction for the regularized measurement of a large class of spacetime-localized observables in bosonic quantum field theory. The measurements fully satisfy relativistic causality and causal…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2026-04-06 Robert Oeckl

Many methods of estimating causal models do not provide estimates of confidence in the resulting model. In this work, a metric is proposed for validating the output of a causal model fit; the robustness of the model structure with resampled…

Quantum mechanics introduces the concept of probability at the fundamental level, yielding the measurement problem. On the other hand, recent progress in cosmology has led to the "multiverse" picture, in which our observed universe is only…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2012-05-10 Yasunori Nomura

I propose two scale-dependent measures of the homogeneity of the quantum geometry determined by an ensemble of causal triangulations. The first measure is volumetric, probing the growth of volume with graph geodesic distance. The second…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-12-24 Joshua H. Cooperman

We introduce new measures of decoherence appropriate for evaluation of quantum computing designs. Environment-induced deviation of a quantum system's evolution from controlled dynamics is quantified by a single numerical measure. This…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2010-10-12 Leonid Fedichkin , Arkady Fedorov , Vladimir Privman

We extend the definition of the marginal causal effect to the continuous treatment setting and develop a novel characterization of causal bias in the framework of structural causal models. We prove that our derived bias expression is zero…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Gianluca Detommaso , Michael Brückner , Philip Schulz , Victor Chernozhukov

As physics searches for invariants in observations, this paper looks for invariants of probabilistic observation without assuming physical structure. Structure emerges from the basic assumption of science that new information shall lead to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Johann Summhammer

This paper is based on the causal set approach to discrete quantum gravity. We first describe a classical sequential growth process (CSGP) in which the universe grows one element at a time in discrete steps. At each step the process has the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-09-01 Stan Gudder

Recent years have seen rapid progress at the intersection between causality and machine learning. Motivated by scientific applications involving high-dimensional data, in particular in biomedicine, we propose a deep neural architecture for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Bernd Taschler , Sach Mukherjee

Statistical causal inference from observational studies often requires adjustment for a possibly multi-dimensional variable, where dimension reduction is crucial. The propensity score, first introduced by Rosenbaum and Rubin, is a popular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hui Guo , Philip Dawid , Giovanni Berzuini

A typical problem in causal modeling is the instability of model structure learning, i.e., small changes in finite data can result in completely different optimal models. The present work introduces a novel causal modeling algorithm for…

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

Estimating causal quantities (CQs) typically requires large datasets, which can be expensive to obtain, especially when measuring individual outcomes is costly. This challenge highlights the importance of sample-efficient active learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Erdun Gao , Dino Sejdinovic

It is known that the classical framework of causal models is not general enough to allow for causal reasoning about quantum systems. While the framework has been generalized in a variety of different ways to the quantum case, much of this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-11-23 Jonathan Barrett , Robin Lorenz , Ognyan Oreshkov
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