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Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

Estimation of spatially-varying parameters for computationally expensive forward models governed by partial differential equations is addressed. A novel multiscale Bayesian inference approach is introduced based on deep probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Yingzhi Xia , Nicholas Zabaras

We propose a new approach for the modeling large datasets of nonstationary spatial processes that combines a latent low rank process and a sparse covariance model. The low rank component coefficients are endowed with a flexible graphical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Matthew LeDuc , William Kleiber , Tomoko Matsuo

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is widely used to reconstruct a low-dimensional representation of high-dimensional data while preserving pairwise distances. However, Bayesian MDS approaches based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) face…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Jiarui Zhang , Jiguo Cao , Liangliang Wang

Many scientific applications involve mixed spatially indexed outcomes of heterogeneous types that are driven by shared latent mechanisms. Modeling such data is challenging due to complex, nonlinear, and potentially nonstationary spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yeseul Jeon , Kyeong Eun Lee , Joon Jin Song

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Chiwoo Park , Daniel Apley

Quasi-periodicity refers to a pattern in a function where it appears periodic but has evolving amplitudes over time. This is often the case in practical settings such as the modeling of case counts of infectious disease or the carbon…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-18 Ziang Zhang , Patrick Brown , Jamie Stafford

We consider evidence integration from potentially dependent observation processes under varying spatio-temporal sampling resolutions and noise levels. We develop a multi-resolution multi-task (MRGP) framework while allowing for both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-06 Oliver Hamelijnck , Theodoros Damoulas , Kangrui Wang , Mark Girolami

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

In image reconstruction, an accurate quantification of uncertainty is of great importance for informed decision making. Here, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems can be used: the image is represented through a random function that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Gaussian processes (GPs) are important probabilistic tools for inference and learning in spatio-temporal modelling problems such as those in climate science and epidemiology. However, existing GP approximations do not simultaneously support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Will Tebbutt , Arno Solin , Richard E. Turner

This thesis focuses on data that has complex spatio-temporal structure and on probabilistic graphical models that learn the structure in an interpretable and scalable manner. We target two research areas of interest: Gaussian graphical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yu Wang

Multi-output Gaussian process (MGP) is commonly used as a transfer learning method to leverage information among multiple outputs. A key advantage of MGP is providing uncertainty quantification for prediction, which is highly important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Wang Xinming , Li Yongxiang , Yue Xiaowei , Wu Jianguo

This paper presents the development of a spatial block-Nearest Neighbor Gaussian process (block-NNGP) for location-referenced large spatial data. The key idea behind this approach is to divide the spatial domain into several blocks which…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-08 Zaida C. Quiroz , Marcos O. Prates , Dipak K. Dey , Håvard Rue

Modeling and inferring spatial relationships and predicting missing values of environmental data are some of the main tasks of geospatial statisticians. These routine tasks are accomplished using multivariate geospatial models and the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Mary Lai O. Salvaña , Sameh Abdulah , Huang Huang , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes

Obtaining accurate water level predictions are essential for water resource management and implementing flood mitigation strategies. Several data-driven models can be found in the literature. However, there has been limited research with…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-27 Victor Hugo Nagahama , James Sweeney , Niamh Cahill

In this work, we use Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) as statistical surrogates for stochastic processes with complex distributions. Conventional inferential methods for DGP models can suffer from high computational complexity as they require…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Shahin Shahrampour

A Gaussian Process GP based ground segmentation method is proposed in this paper which is fully developed in a probabilistic framework. The proposed method tends to obtain a continuous realistic model of the ground. The LiDAR…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic modeling, but their performance is often constrained in complex, large-scale real-world domains due to the limited expressivity of classical kernels. Quantum computing offers…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Meet Gandhi , George P. Kontoudis