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Related papers: A Poisson Kalman filter for disease surveillance

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This work studies distributed (probability) density estimation of large-scale systems. Such problems are motivated by many density-based distributed control tasks in which the real-time density of the swarm is used as feedback information,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-03 Tongjia Zheng , Hai Lin

The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-12 Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill

The paper considers the stationary Poisson Boolean model with spherical grains and proposes a family of nonparametric estimators for the radius distribution. These estimators are based on observed distances and radii, weighted in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Daniel Hug , Günter Last , Zbyněk Pawlas , Wolfgang Weil

The unscented Kalman filter is an algorithm capable of handling nonlinear scenarios. Uncertainty in process noise covariance may decrease the filter estimation performance or even lead to its divergence. Therefore, it is important to adjust…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Amit Levy , Itzik Klein

An information-theoretic development is given for the problem of compound Poisson approximation, which parallels earlier treatments for Gaussian and Poisson approximation. Let $P_{S_n}$ be the distribution of a sum $S_n=\Sumn Y_i$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

Filtering in spatially-extended dynamical systems is a challenging problem with significant practical applications such as numerical weather prediction. Particle filters allow asymptotically consistent inference but require infeasibly large…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-04 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery

We study a class of two-sided optimal control problems of general linear diffusions under a so-called Poisson constraint: the controlling is only allowed at the arrival times of an independent Poisson signal processes. We give a weak and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Harto Saarinen

Vehicle state estimation presents a fundamental challenge for autonomous driving systems, requiring both physical interpretability and the ability to capture complex nonlinear behaviors across diverse operating conditions. Traditional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Farid Mafi , Ladan Khoshnevisan , Mohammad Pirani , Amir Khajepour

We consider the problem of distributed Kalman filtering for sensor networks in the case there is a limit in data transmission and there is model uncertainty. More precisely, we propose a distributed filtering strategy with event-triggered…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Davide Ghion , Mattia Zorzi

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

Let us consider a pair signal-observation ((xn,yn),n 0) where the unobserved signal (xn) is a Markov chain and the observed component is such that, given the whole sequence (xn), the random variables (yn) are independent and the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mireille Chaleyat-Maurel , Valentine Genon-Catalot

Estimation of a dynamical system's latent state subject to sensor noise and model inaccuracies remains a critical yet difficult problem in robotics. While Kalman filters provide the optimal solution in the least squared sense for linear and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Fahira Afzal Maken , Fabio Ramos , Lionel Ott

In recent years, advances in high throughput sequencing technology have led to a need for specialized methods for the analysis of digital gene expression data. While gene expression data measured on a microarray take on continuous values…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-29 Daniela M. Witten

Pathogen deep-sequencing is an increasingly routinely used technology in infectious disease surveillance. We present a semi-parametric Bayesian Poisson model to exploit these emerging data for inferring infectious disease transmission flows…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-06 Xiaoyue Xi , Simon EF Spencer , Matthew Hall , M Kate Grabowski , Joseph Kagaayi , Oliver Ratmann

Sequential Bayesian Filtering aims to estimate the current state distribution of a Hidden Markov Model, given the past observations. The problem is well-known to be intractable for most application domains, except in notable cases such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-16 Théophile Cantelobre , Carlo Ciliberto , Benjamin Guedj , Alessandro Rudi

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

The ability to track a moving vehicle is of crucial importance in numerous applications. The task has often been approached by the importance sampling technique of particle filters due to its ability to model non-linear and non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Kira Kempinska , John Shawe-Taylor

In this paper we study a nonlinear reaction-diffusion system which models an infectious disease caused by bacteria such as those for cholera. One of the significant features in this model is that a certain portion of the recovered human…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Hong-Ming Yin , Jun Zou

Filtering is a widely used methodology for the incorporation of observed data into time-evolving systems. It provides an online approach to state estimation inverse problems when data is acquired sequentially. The Kalman filter plays a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Wonjung Lee , Damon McDougall , Andrew Stuart

This paper introduces an innovative model for infectious diseases in predator-prey populations. We not only prove the existence of global non-negative solutions but also establish essential criteria for the system's decline and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-16 Yujie Gao , Malay Banerjee , Ton Viet Ta