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In urban settings, bus transit stands as a significant mode of public transportation, yet faces hurdles in delivering accurate and reliable arrival times. This discrepancy often culminates in delays and a decline in ridership, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Narges Rashvand , Sanaz Sadat Hosseini , Mona Azarbayjani , Hamed Tabkhi

Bus transit plays a vital role in urban public transportation but often struggles to provide accurate and reliable departure times. This leads to delays, passenger dissatisfaction, and decreased ridership, particularly in transit-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Narges Rashvand , Sanaz Sadat Hosseini , Mona Azarbayjani , Hamed Tabkhi

The notion of smart cities is being adapted globally to provide a better quality of living. A smart city's smart mobility component focuses on providing smooth and safe commuting for its residents and promotes eco-friendly and sustainable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 B. P. Ashwini , R. Sumathi , H. S. Sudhira

Accurate and reliable travel time predictions in public transport networks are essential for delivering an attractive service that is able to compete with other modes of transport in urban areas. The traditional application of this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Camara Pereira

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

Providing real time information about the arrival time of the transit buses has become inevitable in urban areas to make the system more user-friendly and advantageous over various other transportation modes. However, accurate prediction of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 B. Dhivyabharathi , B. Anil Kumar , Avinash Achar , Lelitha Vanajakshi

We present BusTr, a machine-learned model for translating road traffic forecasts into predictions of bus delays, used by Google Maps to serve the majority of the world's public transit systems where no official real-time bus tracking is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Richard Barnes , Senaka Buthpitiya , James Cook , Alex Fabrikant , Andrew Tomkins , Fangzhou Xu

Accurate expected time of arrival (ETA) information is crucial in maintaining the quality of service of public transit. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) has led to more effective models for ETA estimation that rely heavily on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Charul , Pravesh Biyani

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

Many factors can affect the predictability of public bus services such as traffic, weather and local events. Other aspects, such as day of week or hour of day, may influence bus travel times as well, either directly or in conjunction with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Matthias Kormaksson , Luciano Barbosa , Marcos R. Vieira , Bianca Zadrozny

It is commonly seen that buses are blocked by the ones in front serving passengers and have to queue outside a curbside bus stop although there are vacant berths at the stop. The resultant bus delays degrade the service level of urban…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Wanjing Ma , Shiqi Ou , Chunhui Yu

This paper presents an effective framework for estimating time of arrival of vehicles (buses) in an Intelligent Transit Management System (ITMS) having sparse position updates. Our contributions towards this is firstly in implementing a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-22 Shivika Sharma , Nandini Mawane , Dhruthick Gowda M , Mayur Taware , Chetan Kumar , Yash Chandrashekhar Dixit , Rakshit Ramesh

This paper presents two novel approaches for uncertainty estimation adapted and extended for the multi-link bus travel time problem. The uncertainty is modeled directly as part of recurrent artificial neural networks, but using two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Anders Parslov , Filipe Rodrigues

Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Yuran Sun , James Spall , Wai Wong , Xilei Zhao

Arrival/Travel times for public transit exhibit variability on account of factors like seasonality, dwell times at bus stops, traffic signals, travel demand fluctuation etc. The developing world in particular is plagued by additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Nancy Bhutani , Soumen Pachal , Avinash Achar

Travel time estimation is a fundamental problem in transportation science with extensive literature. The study of these techniques has intensified due to availability of many publicly available large trip datasets. Recently developed deep…

In bus arrival time prediction, the process of organizing road infrastructure network data into homogeneous entities is known as segmentation. Segmenting a road network is widely recognized as the first and most critical step in developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Zhen Huang , Jiaxin Deng , Jiayu Xu , Junbiao Pang , Haitao Yu

Accurate arrival time prediction (ATP) of buses and trams plays a crucial role in public transport operations. Current methods focused on modeling one-dimensional temporal information but overlooked the latent periodic information within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zirui Li , Patrick Wolf , Meng Wang

Urban bus transit agencies need reliable, network-wide delay predictions to provide accurate arrival information to passengers and support real-time operational control. Accurate predictions help passengers plan their trips, reduce waiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Emna Boudabbous , Mohamed Karaa , Lokman Sboui , Julio Montecinos , Omar Alam

The communication technology revolution in this era has increased the use of smartphones in the world of transportation. In this paper, we propose to leverage IoT device data, capturing passengers' smartphones' Wi-Fi data in conjunction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Ismail Arai , Ahmed Elnoshokaty , Samy El-Tawab
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