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Related papers: A Markov product for tail dependence functions

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Copulas have been popular to model dependence for multivariate distributions, but have not been used much in modelling temporal dependence of univariate time series. This paper demonstrates some difficulties with using copulas even for…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Andreas N. Lagerås

Consider a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz functions $\{\Psi_n\}_{n \geq 0}$. Using this sequence we can define a Markov chain via the recursive formula $R_{n+1} = \Psi_{n+1}(R_n)$. It is a well known fact that under some mild moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Piotr Dyszewski

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

Archimedean copulas generated by Laplace transforms have been extensively studied in the literature, with much of the focus on tail dependence limited only to cases where the Laplace transforms exhibit regular variation with positive tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Haijun Li

Copulas are essential tools in statistics and probability theory, enabling the study of the dependence structure between random variables independently of their marginal distributions. Among the various types of copulas, Ratio-Type Copulas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Ziad Adwan , Nicola Sottocornola

Stochastic volatility processes with heavy-tailed innovations are a well-known model for financial time series. In these models, the extremes of the log returns are mainly driven by the extremes of the i.i.d. innovation sequence which leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Anja Janssen , Holger Drees

This article proposes a space-efficient approximation to empirical tail dependence coefficients of an indefinite bivariate stream of data. The approximation, which has stream-length invariant error bounds, utilises recent work on the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-17 Alastair Gregory , Kaushik Jana

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Assessing dependence within co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

In this paper, we present a family of bivariate copulas by transforming a given copula function with two increasing functions, named as transformed copula. One distinctive characteristic of the transformed copula is its singular component…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-04 Jiehua Xie , Jingping Yang , Wenhao Zhu

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

We study the tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes -- that is, solutions to Langevin-type stochastic differential equations driven by a background continuous-time Markov chain. To this end, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Gerold Alsmeyer , Anita Behme

We introduce a new stochastic order for the tail dependence between random variables. We then study different measures of tail dependence which are monotone in the proposed order, thereby extending various known tail dependence coefficients…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Karl Friedrich Siburg , Christopher Strothmann , Gregor Weiß

The classical tail dependence coefficient (TDC) may fail to capture non-exchangeable features of bivariate tail dependence since it evaluates the underlying copula only along the diagonal. To address this limitation, several measures of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Takaaki Koike , Marius Hofert , Haruki Tsunekawa

This paper studies properties of functions having monotone tails. We extend Theorem 1 of Dhaene et al. (2002a) and show how the tail quantiles of a random variable transformed with a monotone tail function can be expressed as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Hamza Hanbali , Daniel Linders

This paper explores the impact of perturbations of copulas on dependence properties of the Markov chains they generate. We use an observation that is valid for convex combinations of copulas to establish sufficient conditions for the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Martial Longla , Mathias Muia Nthiani , Fidel Djongreba Ndikwa

We introduce a family of copulas which are locally piecewise uniform in the interior of the unit cube of any given dimension. Within that family, the simultaneous control of tail dependencies of all projections to faces of the cube is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-11 Christoph Hummel

In this paper, we compute multivariate tail risk probabilities where the marginal risks are heavy-tailed and the dependence structure is a Gaussian copula. The marginal heavy-tailed risks are modeled using regular variation which leads to a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

The underlying dependence structure between two random variables can be described in manifold ways. This includes the examination of certain dependence properties such as lower tail decreasingness (LTD), stochastic increasingness (SI) or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Sebastian Fuchs , Marco Tschimpke

In our recent research endeavors, we have delved into the realm of tail bounds problems concerning bivariate random tensor means. In this context, tensors are treated as finite-dimensional operators. However, the longstanding challenge of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Shih-Yu Chang