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Evidence theory is widely used in decision-making and reasoning systems. In previous research, Transferable Belief Model (TBM) is a commonly used evidential decision making model, but TBM is a non-preference model. In order to better fit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Tianxiang Zhan , Zhen Li , Yong Deng

Compartmental models are valuable tools for investigating infectious diseases. Researchers building such models typically begin with a simple structure where compartments correspond to individuals with different epidemiological statuses,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-21 Darren Flynn-Primrose , Steven C. Walker , Michael Li , Benjamin M. Bolker , David J. D. Earn , Jonathan Dushoff

Innovation diffusion has been studied extensively in a variety of disciplines, including sociology, economics, marketing, ecology, and computer science. Traditional literature on innovation diffusion has been dominated by models of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-26 Haifeng Zhang , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

This paper studies the distributed control and estimation of multi-agent systems based on bearing information. In particular, we consider two problems: (i) the distributed control of bearing-constrained formations using relative position…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-31 Shiyu Zhao , Daniel Zelazo

Exploration and adaptation to new tasks in a transfer learning setup is a central challenge in reinforcement learning. In this work, we build on the idea of modeling a distribution over policies in a Bayesian deep reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Disha Shrivastava , Eeshan Gunesh Dhekane , Riashat Islam

The ways in which an agent's actions affect the world can often be modeled compactly using a set of relational probabilistic planning rules. This paper addresses the problem of learning such rule sets for multiple related tasks. We take a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ashwin Deshpande , Brian Milch , Luke S. Zettlemoyer , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

The analysis and control of large-population systems is of great interest to diverse areas of research and engineering, ranging from epidemiology over robotic swarms to economics and finance. An increasingly popular and effective approach…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Kai Cui , Anam Tahir , Gizem Ekinci , Ahmed Elshamanhory , Yannick Eich , Mengguang Li , Heinz Koeppl

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

A simple mechanism for allocating indivisible resources is sequential allocation in which agents take turns to pick items. We focus on possible and necessary allocation problems, checking whether allocations of a given form occur in some or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Haris Aziz , Toby Walsh , Lirong Xia

We introduce relational hyperevent models (RHEM) as a generalization of relational event models to events occurring on hyperedges involving any number of actors. RHEM can specify time-varying event rates for the full space of directed or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Jürgen Lerner , Mark Tranmer , John Mowbray , Marian-Gabriel Hancean

Effective control requires knowledge of the process dynamics to guide the system toward desired states. In many control applications this knowledge is expressed mathematically or through data-driven models, however, as complexity grows…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-24 Joseph Park , George Sugihara , Gerald Pao

Simulation has become the evaluation method of choice for many areas of distributing computing research. However, most existing simulation packages have several limitations on the size and complexity of the system being modeled. Fine…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-07-01 Dobre Ciprian , Cristea Valentin , Iosif C. Legrand

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Probabilistic graphical models compactly represent joint distributions by decomposing them into factors over subsets of random variables. In Bayesian networks, the factors are conditional probability distributions. For many problems, common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-21 Weirui Kong , Wenyi Wang

Traffic jams on roadways, echo chambers on social media, crowds of moving pedestrians, and opinion dynamics during elections are all complex social systems. These applications may seem disparate, but some of the questions that they motivate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-18 Alexandria Volkening

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Statistical system models provide the basis for the examination of various sorts of distributions. Classification distributions are a very common and versatile form of statistics in e.g. real economic, social, and IT systems. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-20 Uwe Petersohn , Thomas Dedek , Sandra Zimmer , Hans Biskupski

In recent years, dynamic agent-based population models, which model every inhabitant of a country as a statistically representative agent, have been gaining in popularity for decision support. This is mainly due to their high degree of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Martin Bicher , Maximilian Viehauser , Daniele Giannandrea , Hannah Kastinger , Dominik Brunmeir , Niki Popper

Agent-Based Models (ABM) are computational scenario-generators, which can be used to predict the possible future outcomes of the complex system they represent. To better understand the robustness of these predictions, it is necessary to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-08 Karl Naumann-Woleske , Max Sina Knicker , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We review briefly the concepts underlying complex systems and probability distributions. The later are often taken as the first quantitative characteristics of complex systems, allowing one to detect the possible occurrence of regularities…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-07-17 D. Sornette