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We consider a learning system based on the conventional multiplicative weight (MW) rule that combines experts' advice to predict a sequence of true outcomes. It is assumed that one of the experts is malicious and aims to impose the maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-21 S. Rasoul Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Vincent Leon , H. Vincent Poor

Multiplicative weights update algorithms have been used extensively in designing iterative algorithms for many computational tasks. The core idea is to maintain a distribution over a set of experts and update this distribution in an online…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Abhinav Aggarwal , José Abel Castellanos Joo , Diksha Gupta

We revisit the fundamental problem of prediction with expert advice, in a setting where the environment is benign and generates losses stochastically, but the feedback observed by the learner is subject to a moderate adversarial corruption.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Idan Amir , Idan Attias , Tomer Koren , Roi Livni , Yishay Mansour

In the online learning with experts problem, an algorithm must make a prediction about an outcome on each of $T$ days (or times), given a set of $n$ experts who make predictions on each day (or time). The algorithm is given feedback on the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-03-06 David P. Woodruff , Fred Zhang , Samson Zhou

We specify an experts algorithm with the following characteristics: (a) it uses only feedback from the actions actually chosen (bandit setup), (b) it can be applied with countably infinite expert classes, and (c) it copes with losses that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

Online learning with expert advice is a fundamental problem of sequential prediction. In this problem, the algorithm has access to a set of $n$ "experts" who make predictions on each day. The goal on each day is to process these…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Vaidehi Srinivas , David P. Woodruff , Ziyu Xu , Samson Zhou

Decision-making methods very often use the technique of comparing alternatives in pairs. In this approach, experts are asked to compare different options, and then a quantitative ranking is created from the results obtained. It is commonly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-21 M. Strada , K. Kułakowski

This paper studies online algorithms augmented with multiple machine-learned predictions. While online algorithms augmented with a single prediction have been extensively studied in recent years, the literature for the multiple predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Keerti Anand , Rong Ge , Amit Kumar , Debmalya Panigrahi

We consider online prediction of a binary sequence with expert advice. For this setting, we devise label-efficient forecasting algorithms, which use a selective sampling scheme that enables collecting much fewer labels than standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-23 Rui M. Castro , Fredrik Hellström , Tim van Erven

We consider the problem of online aggregation of expert predictions with the quadratic loss function. We propose an algorithm for aggregating expert predictions which does not require a prior knowledge of the upper bound on the losses. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Alexander Korotin , Vladimir V'yugin , Evgeny Burnaev

The method of defensive forecasting is applied to the problem of prediction with expert advice for binary outcomes. It turns out that defensive forecasting is not only competitive with the Aggregating Algorithm but also handles the case of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-08-13 Vladimir Vovk

In an online decision problem, one makes decisions often with a pool of decision sequence called experts but without knowledge of the future. After each step, one pays a cost based on the decision and observed rate. One reasonal goal would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-23 Chunyang Xiao

We introduce a new protocol for prediction with expert advice in which each expert evaluates the learner's and his own performance using a loss function that may change over time and may be different from the loss functions used by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-03-23 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk

Predicting the outcomes of future events is a challenging problem for which a variety of solution methods have been explored and attempted. We present an empirical comparison of a variety of online and offline adaptive algorithms for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Varsha Dani , Omid Madani , David M Pennock , Sumit Sanghai , Brian Galebach

A major technique in learning-augmented online algorithms is combining multiple algorithms or predictors. Since the performance of each predictor may vary over time, it is desirable to use not the single best predictor as a benchmark, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Antonios Antoniadis , Christian Coester , Marek Eliáš , Adam Polak , Bertrand Simon

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice with adversarial corruption where the adversary can at most corrupt one expert. Using tools from viscosity theory, we characterize the long-time behavior of the value function of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Xin Zhang

We study the multiclass online learning problem where a forecaster makes a sequence of predictions using the advice of $n$ experts. Our main contribution is to analyze the regime where the best expert makes at most $b$ mistakes and to show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Simina Brânzei , Yuval Peres

Prediction with expert advice is a foundational problem in online learning. In instances with $T$ rounds and $n$ experts, the classical Multiplicative Weights Update method suffers at most $\sqrt{(T/2)\ln n}$ regret when $T$ is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Laura Greenstreet , Nicholas J. A. Harvey , Victor Sanches Portella

In many prediction problems, it is not uncommon that the number of variables used to construct a forecast is of the same order of magnitude as the sample size, if not larger. We then face the problem of constructing a prediction in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Alessio Sancetta

We investigate the power of randomized algorithms for the maximum cardinality matching (MCM) and the maximum weight matching (MWM) problems in the online preemptive model. In this model, the edges of a graph are revealed one by one and the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-07-03 Ashish Chiplunkar , Sumedh Tirodkar , Sundar Vishwanathan
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