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Logistic regression is key method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome based on a collection of covariates. However, the classical formulation of logistic regression relies on the independent sampling assumption, which is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Somabha Mukherjee , Ziang Niu , Sagnik Halder , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , George Michailidis

We revisit the problem of efficiently learning the underlying parameters of Ising models from data. Current algorithmic approaches achieve essentially optimal sample complexity when given i.i.d. samples from the stationary measure and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Jason Gaitonde , Elchanan Mossel

The Sherrington--Kirkpatrick model of spin glasses, the Hopfield model of neural networks and the Ising spin glass are all models of binary data belonging to the one-parameter exponential family with quadratic sufficient statistic. Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Sourav Chatterjee

Ising models with pairwise interactions are the least structured, or maximum-entropy, probability distributions that exactly reproduce measured pairwise correlations between spins. Here we use this equivalence to construct Ising models that…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-31 Gasper Tkacik , Elad Schneidman , Michael J. Berry , William Bialek

An important problem in the field of bioinformatics is to identify interactive effects among profiled variables for outcome prediction. In this paper, a logistic regression model with pairwise interactions among a set of binary covariates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Easton Li Xu , Xiaoning Qian , Tie Liu , Shuguang Cui

A new modeling framework for bipartite social networks arising from a sequence of partially time-ordered relational events is proposed. We directly model the joint distribution of the binary variables indicating if each single actor is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Francesco Bartolucci , Antonietta Mira , Stefano Peluso

We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

Logistic Regression (LR) is a widely used statistical method in empirical binary classification studies. However, real-life scenarios oftentimes share complexities that prevent from the use of the as-is LR model, and instead highlight the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Michela C. Massi , Nicola R. Franco , Francesca Ieva , Andrea Manzoni , Anna Maria Paganoni , Paolo Zunino

The Ising spin glass is a one-parameter exponential family model for binary data with quadratic sufficient statistic. In this paper, we show that given a single realization from this model, the maximum pseudolikelihood estimate (MPLE) of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-06 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Sumit Mukherjee

Financial markets are a classical example of complex systems as they comprise many interacting stocks. As such, we can obtain a surprisingly good description of their structure by making the rough simplification of binary daily returns.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Thomas Bury

The Ising model was originally developed to model magnetisation of solids in statistical physics. As a network of binary variables with the probability of becoming 'active' depending only on direct neighbours, the Ising model appears…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Lourens Waldorp , Maarten Marsman , Gunter Maris

When opinion spread is studied, peer pressure is often modeled by interactions of more than two individuals (higher-order interactions). In our work, we introduce a two-layer random hypergraph model, in which hyperedges represent households…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Ágnes Backhausz , Villő Csiszár , Balázs Csegő Kolok , Damján Tárkányi , András Zempléni

The Linear Threshold Model is a widely used model that describes how information diffuses through a social network. According to this model, an individual adopts an idea or product after the proportion of their neighbors who have adopted it…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

Ising models with pairwise interactions are the least structured, or maximum-entropy, probability distributions that exactly reproduce measured pairwise correlations between spins. Here we use this equivalence to construct Ising models that…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Gasper Tkacik , Elad Schneidman , Michael J Berry , William Bialek

We develop a model that captures peer effect heterogeneity by modeling the endogenous spillover to be linear in ordered peer outcomes. Unlike the canonical linear-in-means model, our approach accounts for the distribution of peer outcomes…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Eyo I. Herstad , Myungkou Shin

The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Ioannis Panageas

Inverse Ising inference allows pairwise interactions of complex binary systems to be reconstructed from empirical correlations. Typical estimators used for this inference, such as Pseudo-likelihood maximization (PLM), are biased. Using the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-19 Maximilian Benedikt Kloucek , Thomas Machon , Shogo Kajimura , C. Patrick Royall , Naoki Masuda , Francesco Turci

The Ising model is a celebrated example of a Markov random field, introduced in statistical physics to model ferromagnetism. This is a discrete exponential family with binary outcomes, where the sufficient statistic involves a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Somabha Mukherjee

The interplay between causal mechanisms and emerging collective behaviors is a central aspect of understanding, controlling, and predicting complex networked systems. In our work, we investigate the relationship between higher-order…

I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck
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