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We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

This paper considers the distributed online convex optimization problem with time-varying constraints over a network of agents. This is a sequential decision making problem with two sequences of arbitrarily varying convex loss and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Xinlei Yi , Xiuxian Li , Tao Yang , Lihua Xie , Tianyou Chai , Karl H. Johansson

The problem of online change point detection is to detect abrupt changes in properties of time series, ideally as soon as possible after those changes occur. Existing work on online change point detection either assumes i.i.d data, focuses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Existing online continuous-time parameter estimation laws provide exact (asymptotic/exponential or finite/fixed time) identification of dynamical linear/nonlinear systems parameters only if the external perturbations are equaled to zero or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-08 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

We study dynamic regret in online convex optimization, where the objective is to achieve low cumulative loss relative to an arbitrary benchmark sequence. By observing that competing with an arbitrary sequence of comparators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Andrew Jacobsen , Alessandro Rudi , Francesco Orabona , Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi

Many multi-variate time series obtained in the natural sciences and engineering possess a repetitive behavior, as for instance state-space trajectories of industrial machines in discrete automation. Recovering the times of recurrence from…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Simon Schindler , Elias Steffen Reich , Saverio Messineo , Simon Hoher , Stefan Huber

Network data has emerged as an active research area in statistics. Much of the focus of ongoing research has been on static networks that represent a single snapshot or aggregated historical data unchanging over time. However, most networks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-23 Lata Kodali , Srijan Sengupta , Leanna House , William H. Woodall

Public transport systems are expected to reduce pollution and contribute to sustainable development. However, disruptions in public transport such as delays may negatively affect mobility choices. To quantify delays, aggregated data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Przemysław Wrona , Maciej Grzenda , Marcin Luckner

Reinforcement learning algorithms typically consider discrete-time dynamics, even though the underlying systems are often continuous in time. In this paper, we introduce a model-based reinforcement learning algorithm that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Lenart Treven , Jonas Hübotter , Bhavya Sukhija , Florian Dörfler , Andreas Krause

Making judicious channel access and transmission scheduling decisions is essential for improving performance as well as energy and spectral efficiency in multichannel wireless systems. This problem has been a subject of extensive study in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-07 Yang Liu , Mingyan Liu

The growing prevalence of drift and shocks in modern decision environments exposes a gap between classical optimization theory and real-world practice. Standard models assume fixed objectives, yet organizations from hospitals to power grids…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 JINHO CHA

In this paper, the possibility of detecting topological variations by observing output trajectories from networked linear time-invariant systems is investigated, where the network topology can be general, but the nodes have identical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Yuqing Hao , Qingyun Wang , Zhisheng Duan , Guanrong Chen

The topologies of predictable dynamic networks are continuously dynamic in terms of node position, network connectivity and link metric. However, their dynamics are almost predictable compared with the ad-hoc network. The existing routing…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-08-20 Zengyin Yang , Qian Wu , Zhize Li , Hewu Li , Jianping Wu

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We study the prediction with expert advice setting, where the aim is to produce a decision by combining the decisions generated by a set of experts, e.g., independently running algorithms. We achieve the min-max optimal dynamic regret under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

This paper studies the online optimal control problem with time-varying convex stage costs for a time-invariant linear dynamical system, where a finite lookahead window of accurate predictions of the stage costs are available at each time.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Yingying Li , Xin Chen , Na Li

We revisit the online dynamic acknowledgment problem. In the problem, a sequence of requests arrive over time to be acknowledged, and all outstanding requests can be satisfied simultaneously by one acknowledgement. The goal of the problem…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Sungjin Im , Benjamin Moseley , Chenyang Xu , Ruilong Zhang

We design differentially private algorithms for the problem of prediction with expert advice under dynamic regret, also known as tracking the best expert. Our work addresses three natural types of adversaries, stochastic with shifting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Aadirupa Saha , Vinod Raman , Hilal Asi

The assumption of using a static graph to represent multivariate time-varying signals oversimplifies the complexity of modeling their interactions over time. We propose a Dynamic Multi-hop model that captures dynamic interactions among…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Yi Yan , Fengfan Zhao , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

We study predictive control in a setting where the dynamics are time-varying and linear, and the costs are time-varying and well-conditioned. At each time step, the controller receives the exact predictions of costs, dynamics, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Yiheng Lin , Yang Hu , Haoyuan Sun , Guanya Shi , Guannan Qu , Adam Wierman