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Spot option prices, forwards and options on forwards relevant for the commodity markets are computed when the underlying process S is modelled as an exponential of a process {\xi} with memory as e.g. a L\'evy semi-stationary process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-02 Fred Espen Benth , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

This paper develops a model for option market making in which the hedging activity of the market maker generates price impact on the underlying asset. The option order flow is modeled by Cox processes, with intensities depending on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-30 Paulin Aubert , Etienne Chevalier , Vathana Ly Vath

Since exchange economy considerably varies in the market assets, asset prices have become an attractive research area for investigating and modeling ambiguous and uncertain information in today markets. This paper proposes a new generative…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Farouq Abdulaziz Masoudy

The pricing of currency options is largely dependent on the dynamic relationship between a pair of currencies. Typically, the pricing of options with payoffs dependent on multi-assets becomes tricky for reasons such as the non-Gaussian…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-30 Azwar Abdulsalam , Gowri Jayprakash , Abhijeet Chandra

Given a Markovian Brownian martingale $Z$, we build a process $X$ which is a martingale in its own filtration and satisfies $X_1 = Z_1$. We call $X$ a dynamic bridge, because its terminal value $Z_1$ is not known in advance. We compute…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Luciano Campi , Umut Çetin , Albina Danilova

The principle of minimum Fisher information states that in the set of acceptable probability distributions characterizing the given system, it is best done by the one that minimizes the corresponding Fisher information. This principle can…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-24 Marcin Makowski , Edward W. Piotrowski , Piotr Frąckiewicz , Marek Szopa

A decision maker's utility depends on her action $a\in A \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ and the payoff relevant state of the world $\theta\in \Theta$. One can define the value of acquiring new information as the difference between the maximum…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-04 Farzad Pourbabaee

A heat kernel approach is proposed for the development of a general, flexible, and mathematically tractable asset pricing framework in finite time. The pricing kernel, giving rise to the price system in an incomplete market, is modelled by…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-27 Andrea Macrina

Firms that price perishable resources -- airline seats, hotel rooms, seasonal inventory -- now routinely use demand predictions, but these predictions vary widely in quality. Under hard capacity constraints, acting on an inaccurate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Ruicheng Ao , Jiashuo Jiang , David Simchi-Levi

The purpose of this paper is to utilize statistical methodologies to infer from market prices of assets and their derivatives the magnitude of the set of a measure M that defines acceptance sets of risky future cash flows. Specifically, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-16 Yoshihiro Shirai

Model uncertainty is a type of inevitable financial risk. Mistakes on the choice of pricing model may cause great financial losses. In this paper we investigate financial markets with mean-volatility uncertainty. Models for stock markets…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-31 Yuhong Xu

In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

In this paper we introduce a new approach to model-free path-dependent option pricing. We first introduce a general duality result for linear optimisation problems over signed measures introduced in [3] and show how the the problem of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-16 Raphael Hauser , Sergey Shahverdyan

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

We consider the design of prediction market mechanisms known as automated market makers. We show that we can design these mechanisms via the mold of \emph{exponential family distributions}, a popular and well-studied probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-02-25 Jacob Abernethy , Sindhu Kutty , Sébastien Lahaie , Rahul Sami

In this paper we extend the series of our studies on the properties of an interacting particle model for market microstructure. In our earlier work we defined a Markov process on the majority opinion of the agents, obtained the transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Ted Theodosopoulos , Ming Yuen

We present a novel approach to describing the microstructure of high frequency trading using two key elements. First we introduce a new notion of informed trader which we starkly contrast to current informed trader models. We describe the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-08 Rene Carmona , Kevin Webster

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

In general it is not clear which kind of information is supposed to be used for calculating the fair value of a contingent claim. Even if the information is specified, it is not guaranteed that the fair value is uniquely determined by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-01 Gabriel Frahm

This paper investigates the pricing of European-style lookback options when the price dynamics of the underlying risky asset are assumed to follow a Markov-modulated Geo-metric Brownian motion; that is, the appreciation rate and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-21 Leunglung Chan , Song-Ping Zhu
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