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Time series forecasting involves collecting and analyzing past observations to develop a model to extrapolate such observations into the future. Forecasting of future events is important in many fields to support decision making as it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Igor Ilic , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

Due to spurious correlations, machine learning systems often fail to generalize to environments whose distributions differ from the ones used at training time. Prior work addressing this, either explicitly or implicitly, attempted to find a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Chaochao Lu , Yuhuai Wu , Jośe Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Bernhard Schölkopf

This paper studies sparse linear regression analysis with outliers in the responses. A parameter vector for modeling outliers is added to the standard linear regression model and then the sparse estimation problem for both coefficients and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Shota Katayama , Hironori Fujisawa

State estimation of dynamical systems from noisy observations is a fundamental task in many applications. It is commonly addressed using the linear Kalman filter (KF), whose performance can significantly degrade in the presence of outliers…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-27 Shunit Truzman , Guy Revach , Nir Shlezinger , Itzik Klein

Outliers are the points which are different from or inconsistent with the rest of the data. They can be novel, new, abnormal, unusual or noisy information. Outliers are sometimes more interesting than the majority of the data. The main…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-06-20 Singh Vijendra , Pathak Shivani

The performance of reinforcement learning (RL) agents is sensitive to the choice of hyperparameters. In real-world settings like robotics or industrial control systems, however, testing different hyperparameter configurations directly on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Han Wang , Archit Sakhadeo , Adam White , James Bell , Vincent Liu , Xutong Zhao , Puer Liu , Tadashi Kozuno , Alona Fyshe , Martha White

Over the decades, traditional outlier detectors have ignored the group-level factor when calculating outlier scores for objects in data by evaluating only the object-level factor, failing to capture the collective outliers. To mitigate this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Jiawei Yang , Yu Chen , Sylwan Rahardja

The increasing focus on predicting renewable energy production aligns with advancements in deep learning (DL). The inherent variability of renewable sources and the complexity of prediction methods require robust approaches, such as DL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu Sua , Bahram Alidaee

This paper introduces a new data analysis method for big data using a newly defined regression model named multiple model linear regression(MMLR), which separates input datasets into subsets and construct local linear regression models of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Bohan Lyu , Jianzhong Li

Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) based machine learning algorithms have suffered from weak generalization performance on data obtained from out-of-distribution (OOD). To address this problem, Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) objective was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Jun-Hyun Bae , Inchul Choi , Minho Lee

Deep neural network, despite its remarkable capability of discriminating targeted in-distribution samples, shows poor performance on detecting anomalous out-of-distribution data. To address this defect, state-of-the-art solutions choose to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Boxi Wu , Jie Jiang , Haidong Ren , Zifan Du , Wenxiao Wang , Zhifeng Li , Deng Cai , Xiaofei He , Binbin Lin , Wei Liu

Functional linear regression is a widely used approach to model functional responses with respect to functional inputs. However, classical functional linear regression models can be severely affected by outliers. We therefore introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-02 Harjit Hullait , David S. Leslie , Nicos G. Pavlidis , Steve King

A new approach to nonlinear modelling is presented which, by incorporating the global behaviour of the model, lifts shortcomings of both least squares and total least squares parameter estimates. Although ubiquitous in practice, a least…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

We introduce an algorithm which, in the context of nonlinear regression on vector-valued explanatory variables, chooses those combinations of vector components that provide best prediction. The algorithm devotes particular attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-03 Frédéric Ferraty , Peter Hall

The marginal likelihood, also known as the evidence, is regarded as a mathematical embodiment of Occam's razor, enabling model selection that avoids overfitting. The evidence lower bound (ELBO) objective from variational inference has also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Ethan Harvey , Michael C. Hughes

Machine learning models have exhibited exceptional results in various domains. The most prevalent approach for learning is the empirical risk minimizer (ERM), which adapts the model's weights to reduce the loss on a training set and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Koby Bibas

Among the reasons hindering reinforcement learning (RL) applications to real-world problems, two factors are critical: limited data and the mismatch between the testing environment (real environment in which the policy is deployed) and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Xiaoteng Ma , Zhipeng Liang , Jose Blanchet , Mingwen Liu , Li Xia , Jiheng Zhang , Qianchuan Zhao , Zhengyuan Zhou

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

When using recurrent neural networks (RNNs) it is common practice to apply trained models to sequences longer than those seen in training. This "extrapolating" usage deviates from the traditional statistical learning setup where guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Edo Cohen-Karlik , Avichai Ben David , Nadav Cohen , Amir Globerson

Advances in sensor technology have enabled the collection of large-scale datasets. Such datasets can be extremely noisy and often contain a significant amount of outliers that result from sensor malfunction or human operation faults. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Yu-Hsuan Kuo , Zhenhui Li , Daniel Kifer