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To safely and efficiently navigate in complex urban traffic, autonomous vehicles must make responsible predictions in relation to surrounding traffic-agents (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians, etc.). A challenging and critical task is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Yuexin Ma , Xinge Zhu , Sibo Zhang , Ruigang Yang , Wenping Wang , Dinesh Manocha

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Philippe C. Besse , Brendan Guillouet , Jean-Michel Loubes , Francois Royer

Forecasting vehicle behavior within complex traffic environments is pivotal within Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Though this technology plays a significant role in alleviating the prevalent operational difficulties in logistics…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Ouhan Huang , Huanle Rao , Xiaowen Cai , Tianyun Wang , Aolong Sun , Sizhe Xing , Yifan Sun , Gangyong Jia

Public transportation system commuters are often interested in getting accurate travel time information to plan their daily activities. However, this information is often difficult to predict accurately due to the irregularities of road…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-09 Ayobami E. Adewale , Amnir Hadachi

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

Real-time estimation of destination and travel time for taxis is of great importance for existing electronic dispatch systems. We present an approach based on trip matching and ensemble learning, in which we leverage the patterns observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-30 Hoang Thanh Lam , Ernesto Diaz-Aviles , Alessandra Pascale , Yiannis Gkoufas , Bei Chen

Travel choice analysis is crucial for understanding individual travel behavior to develop appropriate transport policies and recommendation systems in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Despite extensive research, this domain faces…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Xuehao Zhai , Hanlin Tian , Lintong Li , Tianyu Zhao

Given taxi-ride counts information between departure and destination locations, how can we forecast their future demands? In general, given a data stream of events with seasonal patterns that innovate over time, how can we effectively and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Koki Kawabata , Siddharth Bhatia , Rui Liu , Mohit Wadhwa , Bryan Hooi

Traffic prediction, an essential component for intelligent transportation systems, endeavours to use historical data to foresee future traffic features at specific locations. Although existing traffic prediction models often emphasize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Chenxi Liu , Sun Yang , Qianxiong Xu , Zhishuai Li , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao

Predictive models for human mobility have important applications in many fields such as traffic control, ubiquitous computing and contextual advertisement. The predictive performance of models in literature varies quite broadly, from as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Andrea Cuttone , Sune Lehmann , Marta C. González

Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Yuran Sun , James Spall , Wai Wong , Xilei Zhao

Travel behavior prediction is a core problem in transportation demand management and is traditionally addressed using numerical models calibrated on observed data. With recent advances in large language models (LLMs), new opportunities have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Baichuan Mo , Hanyong Xu , Ruoyun Ma , Jung-Hoon Cho , Dingyi Zhuang , Xiaotong Guo , Jinhua Zhao

Traffic prediction has drawn increasing attention in AI research field due to the increasing availability of large-scale traffic data and its importance in the real world. For example, an accurate taxi demand prediction can assist taxi…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Huaxiu Yao , Xianfeng Tang , Hua Wei , Guanjie Zheng , Zhenhui Li

Next-location prediction, consisting of forecasting a user's location given their historical trajectories, has important implications in several fields, such as urban planning, geo-marketing, and disease spreading. Several predictors have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Massimiliano Luca , Luca Pappalardo , Bruno Lepri , Gianni Barlacchi

Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

Spatial-temporal prediction is a fundamental problem for constructing smart city, which is useful for tasks such as traffic control, taxi dispatching, and environmental policy making. Due to data collection mechanism, it is common to see…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Huaxiu Yao , Yiding Liu , Ying Wei , Xianfeng Tang , Zhenhui Li

Precise destination prediction of taxi trajectories can benefit many intelligent location based services such as accurate ad for passengers. Traditional prediction approaches, which treat trajectories as one-dimensional sequences and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Jianming Lv , Qing Li , Xintong Wang

The increased availability of large-scale trajectory data around the world provides rich information for the study of urban dynamics. For example, New York City Taxi Limousine Commission regularly releases source-destination information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Hongjian Wang , Zhenhui Li , Yu-Hsuan Kuo , Dan Kifer

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski

Destination prediction is an essential task in a variety of mobile applications. In this paper, we optimize the matrix operation and adapt a semi-lazy framework to improve the prediction accuracy and efficiency of a state-of-the-art…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Zhou Yang , Heli Sun , Jianbin Huang , Xiaolin Jia , Ziyu Guan , Zhongmeng Zhao