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This paper concerns the study of optimal (supremum and infimum) uncertainty bounds for systems where the input (or prior) probability measure is only partially/imperfectly known (e.g., with only statistical moments and/or on a coarse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Xingsheng Sun , Burigede Liu

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li

Many inverse problems include nuisance parameters which, while not of direct interest, are required to recover primary parameters. Structure present in these problems allows efficient optimization strategies - a well known example is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Tristan van Leeuwen

Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice. One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer models of the likelihood-to-evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Giulio Isacchini , Natanael Spisak , Armita Nourmohammad , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

Constructing valid inferential methods for constrained parameters in normal and Poisson distributions represents two fundamental and important problems in applied statistics, for which there is currently no unified framework for statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Hezhi Lu , Qijun Wu

Optical measurements often exhibit mixed Poisson-Gaussian noise statistics, which hampers image quality, particularly under low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) conditions. Computational imaging falls short in such situations when solely…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-16 Jacob Seifert , Yifeng Shao , Rens van Dam , Dorian Bouchet , Tristan van Leeuwen , Allard P. Mosk

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

In typical high dimensional statistical inference problems, confidence intervals and hypothesis tests are performed for a low dimensional subset of model parameters under the assumption that the parameters of interest are unconstrained.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Ming Yu , Varun Gupta , Mladen Kolar

The identification of new rare signals in data, the detection of a sudden change in a trend, and the selection of competing models, are among the most challenging problems in statistical practice. These challenges can be tackled using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , David A. van Dyk

The real-life data have a complex and non-linear structure due to their nature. These non-linearities and the large number of features can usually cause problems such as the empty-space phenomenon and the well-known curse of dimensionality.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Kadir Özçoban , Murat Manguoğlu , Emrullah Fatih Yetkin

We investigate an optimal control problem motivated by neuroscience, where the dynamics is driven by a Poisson process with a controlled stochastic intensity and an unknown parameter. Given a prior distribution for the unknown parameter, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Nicolas Baradel , Quentin Cormier

In an era of unprecedented deluge of (mostly unstructured) data, graphs are proving more and more useful, across the sciences, as a flexible abstraction to capture complex relationships between complex objects. One of the main challenges…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-17 Alaa Saade

We show how to deal with uncertainties on the Standard Model predictions in an agnostic new physics search strategy that exploits artificial neural networks. Our approach builds directly on the specific Maximum Likelihood ratio treatment of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-11-29 Raffaele Tito d'Agnolo , Gaia Grosso , Maurizio Pierini , Andrea Wulzer , Marco Zanetti

Various problems in Engineering and Statistics require the computation of the likelihood ratio function of two probability densities. In classical approaches the two densities are assumed known or to belong to some known parametric family.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-06 George V. Moustakides , Kalliopi Basioti

Data is scaling exponentially in fields ranging from genomics to neuroscience to economics. A central question is: can modern machine learning methods be applied to construct predictive models of natural systems like cells and brains based…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-17 Audrey Huang , Benjamin Sheldan , David A. Sivak , Matt Thomson

A growing number of applications in particle physics and beyond use neural networks as unbinned likelihood ratio estimators applied to real or simulated data. Precision requirements on the inference tasks demand a high-level of stability…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-03-04 G. Bruno De Luca , Benjamin Nachman , Eva Silverstein , Henry Zheng

Well-tuned hyperparameters are crucial for obtaining good generalization behavior in neural networks. They can enforce appropriate inductive biases, regularize the model and improve performance -- especially in the presence of limited data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Bruno Mlodozeniec , Matthias Reisser , Christos Louizos

In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

Recovering dynamical equations from observed noisy data is the central challenge of system identification. We develop a statistical mechanics approach to analyze sparse equation discovery algorithms, which typically balance data fit and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Andrei A. Klishin , Joseph Bakarji , J. Nathan Kutz , Krithika Manohar
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