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Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular inference method when likelihoods are hard to come by. Practical bottlenecks of ABC applications include selecting statistics that summarize the data without losing too much information or…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-15 Khanh N. Dinh , Cécile Liu , Zijin Xiang , Zhihan Liu , Simon Tavaré

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

We develop a Bayesian model-based approach to finite population estimation accounting for spatial dependence. Our innovation here is a framework that achieves inference for finite population quantities in spatial process settings. A key…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-22 Alec M. Chan-Golston , Sudipto Banerjee , Mark S. Handcock

Survey sampling plays an important role in the efficient allocation and management of resources. The essence of survey sampling lies in acquiring a sample of data points from a population and subsequently using this sample to estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jonne Pohjankukka , Sakari Tuominen , Jukka Heikkonen

Cluster sampling is common in survey practice, and the corresponding inference has been predominantly design-based. We develop a Bayesian framework for cluster sampling and account for the design effect in the outcome modeling. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Susanna Makela , Yajuan Si , Andrew Gelman

We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Ziling Ma , Ángel López Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

In developing data-driven modeling methodologies, there is an ongoing need to reconcile the strong predictive performance of opaque black-box models with the transparency required for critical applications. This work introduces an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Xin Huang , Jia Li , Jun Yu

Clustering algorithms start with a fixed divergence, which captures the possibly asymmetric distance between a sample and a centroid. In the mixture model setting, the sample distribution plays the same role. When all attributes have the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Mehmet Emin Basbug , Barbara Engelhardt

Standard approaches to tackle high-dimensional supervised classification problem often include variable selection and dimension reduction procedures. The novel methodology proposed in this paper combines clustering of variables and feature…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Marie Chavent , Robin Genuer , Jerome Saracco

Recent work has focused on the problem of conducting linear regression when the number of covariates is very large, potentially greater than the sample size. To facilitate this, one useful tool is to assume that the model can be well…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-21 Zhou Fang

Randomized experiments is a key part of product development in the tech industry. It is often necessary to run programs of exclusive experiments, i.e., experiments that cannot be run on the same units during the same time. These programs…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Mårten Schultzberg , Oskar Kjellin , Johan Rydberg

A major limitation of clustering approaches is their lack of explainability: methods rarely provide insight into which features drive the grouping of similar observations. To address this limitation, we propose an ensemble-based clustering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Federico Maria Quetti , Elena Ballante , Silvia Figini , Paolo Giudici

This review provides a systematic overview of methods that combine covariate-based clustering of observational units (patients) with outcome models for clinical studies. We distinguish between informed-cluster models, where the outcome…

Previously, crowdsourcing experiments in surveillance of crop diseases and pest have been trialed as small scale community sensing campaigns with select cohort of smallholder farmers, extension and experts. While those pilots have…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Daniel Mutembesa , Ernest Mwebaze , Solomon Nsumba , Christopher Omongo , Humphrey Mutaasa

Variable clustering is important for explanatory analysis. However, only few dedicated methods for variable clustering with the Gaussian graphical model have been proposed. Even more severe, small insignificant partial correlations due to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-18 Daniel Andrade , Akiko Takeda , Kenji Fukumizu

In many fields, researchers are interested in large and complex biological processes. Two important examples are gene expression and DNA methylation in genetics. One key problem is to identify aberrant patterns of these processes and…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-03 Matthias Kormaksson , James G. Booth , Maria E. Figueroa , Ari Melnick

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods can be used to sample from posterior distributions when the likelihood function is unavailable or intractable, as is often the case in biological systems. ABC methods suffer from inefficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Charlie Rogers-Smith , Henri Pesonen , Samuel Kaski

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The impact of an extreme climate event depends strongly on its geographical scale. Max-stable processes can be used for the statistical investigation of climate extremes and their spatial dependencies on a continuous area. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

Multiple outcomes, both continuous and discrete, are routinely gathered on subjects in longitudinal studies and during routine clinical follow-up in general. To motivate our work, we consider a longitudinal study on patients with primary…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-17 Arnošt Komárek , Lenka Komárková