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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting 201 countries and territories around the globe. As of April 4, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 11,16,643…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-18 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh

In late December 2019, a novel strand of Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) causing a severe, potentially fatal respiratory syndrome (COVID-19) was identified in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China and is causing outbreaks in multiple world countries, soon…

Understanding how widely COVID-19 has spread is critical for examining the pandemic's progression. Despite efforts to carefully monitor the pandemic, the number of confirmed cases may underestimate the total number of infections. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-27 Christina Bohk-Ewald , Christian Dudel , Mikko Myrskylä

In this investigation I used the Logistic Model to fit the COVID-19 pandemic data for some countries. The data modeled is the death numbers per day in China, Iran, Italy, South Korea, Spain and United States. Considering the current growth…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-22 Apiano F. Morais

The recent epidemic of Coronavirus (COVID-19) that started in China has already been "exported" to more than 140 countries in all the continents, evolving in most of them by local spreading. In this contribution we analyze the trends of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-23 Albertine Weber , Flavio Ianelli , Sebastian Goncalves

The very first infected novel coronavirus case (COVID-19) was found in Hubei, China in Dec. 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic has spread over 214 countries and areas in the world, and has significantly affected every aspect of our daily lives. At…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Quoc-Viet Pham , Dinh C. Nguyen , Thien Huynh-The , Won-Joo Hwang , Pubudu N Pathirana

In December 2019, a novel coronavirus was found in a seafood wholesale market in Wuhan, China. WHO officially named this coronavirus as COVID-19. Since the first patient was hospitalized on December 12, 2019, China has reported a total of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-18 Lin Jia , Kewen Li , Yu Jiang , Xin Guo , Ting zhao

In mid of March 2020, Coronaviruses such as COVID-19 is declared as an international epidemic. More than 125000 confirmed cases and 4,607 death cases have been recorded around more than 118 countries. Unfortunately, a coronavirus vaccine is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-18 Haytham H. Elmousalami , Aboul Ella Hassanien

In this note we analyze the temporal dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak in China, Italy and France in the time window $22/01-09/03/2020$. A first analysis of simple day-lag maps points to some universality in the epidemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Duccio Fanelli , Francesco Piazza

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all countries of the world producing a substantial number of fatalities accompanied by a major disruption in their social, financial, and educational organization. The strict disciplinary measures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

An urgent problem in controlling COVID-19 spreading is to understand the role of undocumented infection. We develop a five-state model for COVID-19, taking into account the unique features of the novel coronavirus, with key parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-27 Yong-Shang Long , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Li-Lei Han , Jie Kang , Yi-Lin Li , Zhao-Hua Lin , Lang Zeng , Da-Yu Wu , Chang-Qing Hao , Ming Tang , Zonghua Liu , Ying-Cheng Lai

As the COVID-19 outbreak is developing the two most frequently reported statistics seem to be the raw confirmed case and case fatalities counts. Focusing on Italy, one of the hardest hit countries, we look at how these two values could be…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Emanuele Guidotti , Stefano Maria Iacus , Marcin Okrój

The Coronavirus, also known as the COVID-19 virus, has emerged in Wuhan China since late November 2019. Since that time, it has been spreading at large-scale until today all around the world. It is currently recognized as the world's most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Anis Koubaa

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting more than 200 countries and territories worldwide. As of September 30, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 33…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh , Tirna Mahajan , Tejasvi Arora

SARS-CoV-2 has disrupted the life of billions of people around the world since the first outbreak was officially declared in China at the beginning of 2020. Yet, important questions such as how deadly it is or its degree of spread within…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-01 Beatriz Seoane

During the COVID-19 outbreak, it is essential to monitor the effectiveness of measures taken by governments on the course of the epidemic. Here we show that there is already a sufficient amount of data collected in Italy to predict the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-02 Gabor Vattay

An epidemic disease caused by a new coronavirus has spread in Northern Italy with a strong contagion rate. We implement an SEIR model to compute the infected population and number of casualties of this epidemic. The example may ideally…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-12 Jose' M. Carcione , Juan E. Santos , Claudio Bagaini , Jing Ba

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 COVID-19 has been leading the world into a prominent crisis. As of May 19, 2020, the virus had spread to 215 countries with more than 4,622,001 confirmed cases and 311,916 reported deaths worldwide,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-25 Sami Belkacem

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major disturbance to human life. An important reason behind the widespread social anxiety is the huge uncertainty about the pandemic. A fundamental uncertainty is how many or what percentage of people have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-04 Donghui Yan , Ying Xu , Pei Wang

Human civilization is experiencing a critical situation that presents itself for a new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This virus emerged in late December 2019 in Wuhan city, Hubei, China. The grim fact of COVID-19 is, it is highly…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Bikash Chandra Singh , Zulfikar Alom , Mohammad Muntasir Rahman , Mrinal Kanti Baowaly , Mohammad Abdul Azim
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