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In this paper, we study properties of random walks on finite groups and later use them to obtain the limiting braid length expectation and component number of braid closure in a model of random braids, which is constructed by lifting…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Heorhii Zhylinskyi

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

Continuous time random Walk model has been versatile analytical formalism for studying and modeling diffusion processes in heterogeneous structures, such as disordered or porous media. We are studying the continuous limits of Heterogeneous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-23 Liubov Tupikina

Starting from kicked equations of motion with derivatives of non-integer orders, we obtain "fractional" discrete maps. These maps are generalizations of well-known universal, standard, dissipative, kicked damped rotator maps. The main…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-04-02 Vasily E. Tarasov , George M. Zaslavsky

Assessing dependence within co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

We extend the use of random evolving sets to time-varying conductance models and utilize it to provide tight heat kernel upper bounds. It yields the transience of any uniformly lazy random walk, on Z^d, d>=3, equipped with uniformly bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Amir Dembo , Ruojun Huang , Ben Morris , Yuval Peres

We consider a continuous-time random walk on the $d$-dimensional torus $\mathbb{T}^d_{N}=\mathbb{Z}^d/N \mathbb{Z}^d$, possibly with long-range, but finite, jumps. The law of the jumps is regulated by a random environment $\xi$ yielding a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Alessandra Faggionato , Michele Salvi

Representing networks in a low dimensional latent space is a crucial task with many interesting applications in graph learning problems, such as link prediction and node classification. A widely applied network representation learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Abdulkadir Çelikkanat , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros

Fat tails in financial time series and increase of stocks cross-correlations in high volatility periods are puzzling facts that ask for new paradigms. Both points are of key importance in fundamental research as well as in Risk Management…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Marco Airoldi

We investigate front propagation in systems with diffusive and sub-diffusive behavior. The scaling behavior of moments of the diffusive problem, both in the standard and in the anomalous cases, is not enough to determine the features of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-06 Maurizio Serva , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

We establish scaling limits for the random walk whose state space is the range of a simple random walk on the four-dimensional integer lattice. These concern the asymptotic behaviour of the graph distance from the origin and the spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-08 David A. Croydon , Daisuke Shiraishi

Structural properties of evolving random graphs are investigated. Treating linking as a dynamic aggregation process, rate equations for the distribution of node to node distances (paths) and of cycles are formulated and solved analytically.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

We develop lagged Metropolis-Hastings walk for sampling from simple undirected graphs according to given stationary sampling probabilities. We explain how to apply the technique together with designed graphs for sampling of units-in-space.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-16 Li-Chun Zhang

We adjust the classical random waypoint mobility model used in the study of telecommunication networks to a more realistic setting by allowing participants of the network to return to popular places and individual homes. We show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Carina Betken , Hanna Döring

We propose a unified physical framework for transport in variably saturated porous media. This approach allows fluid flow and solute migration to be treated as ensemble averages of fluid and solute particles, respectively. We consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-03-09 Andrea Zoia , Marie-Christine Néel , Andrea Cortis

We study the random graph obtained by random deletion of vertices or edges from a random graph with given vertex degrees. A simple trick of exploding vertices instead of deleting them, enables us to derive results from known results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-11 Svante Janson

We address the important question of the extent to which random variables and vectors with truncated power tails retain the characteristic features of random variables and vectors with power tails. We define two truncation regimes, soft…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

It is known that electrical networks with resistors are related to the Laplace operator and random walk on weighted graphs. In this paper we consider more general electrical networks with coils, capacitors, and resistors. We give two…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Anna Muranova