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We consider the fundamental problem of matching a template to a signal. We do so by M-estimation, which encompasses procedures that are robust to gross errors (i.e., outliers). Using standard results from empirical process theory, we derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Ery Arias-Castro , Lin Zheng

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

Detecting changes is of fundamental importance when analyzing data streams and has many applications, e.g., in predictive maintenance, fraud detection, or medicine. A principled approach to detect changes is to compare the distributions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Florian Kalinke , Marco Heyden , Georg Gntuni , Edouard Fouché , Klemens Böhm

We study online change point detection problems under the constraint of local differential privacy (LDP) where, in particular, the statistician does not have access to the raw data. As a concrete problem, we study a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Thomas Berrett , Yi Yu

We propose a grid-based methodology for online changepoint detection that allows offline changepoint tests to be applied to sequentially observed data. The methodology achieves low update and storage costs by testing for changepoints over a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Per August Jarval Moen

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem in pointwise and minimax settings for general dependent data models. Two new classes of sequential detection procedures associated with the maximal "local" probability of a false alarm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Serguei M. Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

This paper reviews recent developments in fundamental limits and optimal algorithms for change point analysis. We focus on minimax optimal rates in change point detection and localisation, in both parametric and nonparametric models. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Yi Yu

Many industrial and security applications employ a suite of sensors for detecting abrupt changes in temporal behavior patterns. These abrupt changes typically manifest locally, rendering only a small subset of sensors informative.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Aditya Gopalan , Venkatesh Saligrama , Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams

To deploy and operate deep neural models in production, the quality of their predictions, which might be contaminated benignly or manipulated maliciously by input distributional deviations, must be monitored and assessed. Specifically, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Guy Bar-Shalom , Yonatan Geifman , Ran El-Yaniv

In this paper, we propose a new method for offline change-point detection on some parameters of the distribution of a random vector. We introduce a penalized maximum likelihood approach that can be efficiently computed by a dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Lucas Prates , Renan B Lemes , Tábita Hünemeier , Florencia Leonardi

We study change point detection and localization for univariate data in fully nonparametric settings in which, at each time point, we acquire an i.i.d. sample from an unknown distribution. We quantify the magnitude of the distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-27 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples plays a key role in open-world and safety-critical applications such as autonomous systems and healthcare. Recently, self-supervised representation learning techniques (via contrastive learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Sina Mohseni , Arash Vahdat , Jay Yadawa

The aim of change-point detection is to identify behavioral shifts within time series data. This article focuses on scenarios where the data is derived from an inhomogeneous Poisson process or a marked Poisson process. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 C. Dion-Blanc , D. Hawat , E. Lebarbier , S. Robin

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Diego Agudelo-España , Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jan Peters

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand on efficient algorithms for large scale change point detection problems. To this end, we propose seeded binary segmentation, an approach relying on a deterministic construction of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann , Axel Munk
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