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Delay-coordinate reconstruction is a proven modeling strategy for building effective forecasts of nonlinear time series. The first step in this process is the estimation of good values for two parameters, the time delay and the embedding…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-09 Joshua Garland , Ryan G. James , Elizabeth Bradley

We apply a recently proposed method for the analysis of time series from systems with delayed feedback to experimental data generated by a CO_2 laser. The method is able to estimate the delay time with an error of the order of the sampling…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 M. J. Bünner , M. Ciofini , A. Giaquinta , R. Hegger , H. Kantz , R. Meucci , A. Politi

Identifying the qualitative changes in time-series data provides insights into the dynamics associated with such data. Such qualitative changes can be detected through topological approaches, which first embed the data into a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-27 Quoc Hoan Tran , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

For the purpose of phase space reconstruction from nonlinear time series, delay selection is one of the most vital criteria. This is normally done by using a general measure viz., mutual information (MI). However, in that case, the delay…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-09-23 Sanjay Kumar Palit , Sayan Mukherjee , D. K. Bhattacharya

The most common state space reconstruction method in the analysis of chaotic time series is the Method of Delays (MOD). Many techniques have been suggested to estimate the parameters of MOD, i.e. the time delay $\tau$ and the embedding…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Dimitris Kugiumtzis

In the analysis of complex, nonlinear time series, scientists in a variety of disciplines have relied on a time delayed embedding of their data, i.e. attractor reconstruction. The process has focused primarily on heuristic and empirical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Louis M. Pecora , Linda Moniz , Jonathan Nichols , Thomas L. Carroll

Reconstruction of a dynamical system from a time series requires the selection of two parameters, the embedding dimension $d_e$ and the embedding lag $\tau$. Many competing criteria to select these parameters exist, and all are heuristic.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Michael Small , Chi K. Tse

A new and accurate method to determine the time delay and embedding dimension for state space reconstruction of a high dimensional system from a scalar time series using time delay embedding is presented. The time delay is obtained to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-05-06 Aniruddha Tamma , Bhaskar Lachman Khubchandani

A class of methods for measuring time delays between astronomical time series is introduced in the context of quasar reverberation mapping, which is based on measures of randomness or complexity of the data. Several distinct statistical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-16 Doron Chelouche , Francisco Pozo Nuñez , Shay Zucker

Delay-coordinate embedding is a powerful, time-tested mathematical framework for reconstructing the dynamics of a system from a series of scalar observations. Most of the associated theory and heuristics are overly stringent for real-world…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Joshua Garland

We suggest an algorithm for determining the proper delay time and the minimum embedding dimension for Takens' delay-time embedding procedure. This method resorts to the rate of change of the spatial distribution of points on a reconstructed…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Jeong-No Lee , Kwang-Sup Soh

Reconstructing state-space dynamics from scalar data using time-delay embedding requires choosing values for the delay $\tau$ and the dimension $m$. Both parameters are critical to the success of the procedure and neither is easy to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-08 Varad Deshmukh , Robert Meikle , Elizabeth Bradley , James D. Meiss , Joshua Garland

The characteristics of a time-delayed system with time-dependent delay time is investigated. We demonstrate the nonlinearity characteristics of the time-delayed system are significantly changed depending on the properties of time-dependent…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Won-Ho Kye , Muhan Choi , Sunghwan Rim , M. S. Kurdoglyan , Chil-Min Kim , Young-Jai Park

In wave propagation theories, many problems of multi-sensor systems utilize time delay in their solution in signal processing. This technique finds great utility in seismic exploration and static correction (low-velocity weathering), which…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-25 Ashraf H. Yahia , El-Sayed El-Dahshan , Albert K. Guirguis

In the nonlinear prediction of scalar time series, the common practice is to reconstruct the state space using time-delay embedding and apply a local model on neighborhoods of the reconstructed space. The method of false nearest neighbors…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-09-15 I. Vlachos , D. Kugiumtzis

Time-delay embedding is a powerful technique for reconstructing the state space of nonlinear time series. However, the fidelity of reconstruction relies on the assumption that the time-delay map is an embedding, which is implicitly…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-02 Yiting Duan , Zhikun Zhang , Yi Guo

This work introduces a time-adaptive strategy that uses a refinement estimator based on the first Frenet curvature. In dynamics, a time-adaptive strategy is a mechanism that interactively proposes changes to the time step used in iterative…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-05-30 E. N. Lages , E. S. S. Silveira , D. T. Cintra , A. C. Frery

A recently proposed nearest neighbor based selection of time delays for phase space reconstruction is extended to multivariate time series, with an iterative selection of variables and time delays. A case study of numerically generated…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sara P. Garcia , Jonas S. Almeida

Analyzing data from paleoclimate archives such as tree rings or lake sediments offers the opportunity of inferring information on past climate variability. Often, such data sets are univariate and a proper reconstruction of the system's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-29 Jaqueline Lekscha , Reik V. Donner

In this work we propose an objective function to guide the search for a state space reconstruction of a dynamical system from a time series of measurements. This statistics can be evaluated on any reconstructed attractor, thereby allowing a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-05-16 L. C. Uzal , G. L. Grinblat , P. F. Verdes
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