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Wildland fire smoke contains hazardous levels of fine particulate matter PM2.5, a pollutant shown to adversely effect health. Estimating fire attributable PM2.5 concentrations is key to quantifying the impact on air quality and subsequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-16 Alexandra Larsen , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich , Ana G. Rappold

Fire is an indissoluble component of ecosystems, however quantifying the effects of fire on vegetation is challenging task as fire lies outside the typical experimental design attributes. A recent simulation study showed that under…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-16 Aristides Moustakas

Dynamic mean field theory is applied to the problem of forest fires. The starting point is the Monte Carlo simulation in a lattice of million cells. The statistics of the clusters is obtained by means of the Hoshen--Kopelman algorithm. We…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-12-13 K. Malarz , S. Kaczanowska , K. Kulakowski

Understanding the role of vegetation fires in the Earth system has become an important environmental problem. Although fires time occurrence is mainly influenced by climate, human activity related with land use and management has altered…

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

Bushfires are among the most destructive natural hazards in Australia, causing significant ecological, economic, and social damage. Accurate prediction of bushfire intensity is therefore essential for effective disaster preparedness and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Tanvi Jois , Hussain Ahmad , Fatima Noor , Faheem Ullah

Causal discovery is the subfield of causal inference concerned with estimating the structure of cause-and-effect relationships in a system of interrelated variables, as opposed to quantifying the strength or describing the form of causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Rebecca F. Supple , Hannah Worthington , Ben Swallow

Due to climate change, the extreme wildfire has become one of the most dangerous natural hazards to human civilization. Even though, some wildfires may be initially caused by human activity, but the spread of wildfires is mainly determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Qijun Chen , Shaofan Li

Forest-savanna bistability - the hypothesis that forests and savannas exist as alternative stable states in the tropics - and its implications are key challenges for mathematical modelers and ecologists in the context of ongoing climate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-05 Kimberly Shen , Simon Levin , Denis D. Patterson

Outdoor air pollution is estimated to cause a huge number of premature deaths worldwide, it catalyses many diseases on a variety of time scales, and it has a detrimental effect on the environment. In light of these impacts it is necessary…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-08 Hankun He , Benjamin Schäfer , Christian Beck

Quantitative estimate of observational uncertainty is an essential ingredient to correctly interpret changes in climatic and environmental variables such as wildfires. In this work we compare four state-of-the-art satellite fire products…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-17 Marco Turco , Sixto Herrera , Etienne Tourigny , Emilio Chuvieco , Antonello Provenzale

Forest fire prediction involves estimating the likelihood of fire ignition or related risk levels in a specific area over a defined time period. With climate change intensifying fire behavior and frequency, accurate prediction has become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Nicolas Caron , Christophe Guyeux , Hassan Noura , Benjamin Aynes

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

Spatially explicit data layers of tree species assemblages, referred to as forest types or forest type groups, are a key component in large-scale assessments of forest sustainability, biodiversity, timber biomass, carbon sinks and forest…

Applications · Statistics 2009-10-09 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee , Ronald E. McRoberts

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

Modeling of forests' vegetation in North Eurasia has been performed for 1982-2006 on the basis of remote sensing data. Four meteorological parameters and one parameter, characterizing geomagnetic field disturbance level, were used for this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-10-04 O. Khabarova , I. Savin , M. Medvedeva

This survey paper covers the breadth and depth of time-series and spatiotemporal causality methods, and their applications in Earth Science. More specifically, the paper presents an overview of causal discovery and causal inference,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-04 Sahara Ali , Uzma Hasan , Xingyan Li , Omar Faruque , Akila Sampath , Yiyi Huang , Md Osman Gani , Jianwu Wang

Environmental and climate processes are often distributed over large space-time domains. Their complexity and the amount of available data make modelling and analysis a challenging task. Statistical modelling of environment and climate data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Behnaz Pirzamanbein

Wildfires pose a severe threat to the ecosystem and economy, and risk assessment is typically based on fire danger indices such as the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) used in Australia. Studying the joint tail dependence structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-09 Daniela Cisneros , Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…