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In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC) method for real-time intervention of spreading processes, such as epidemics and wildfire, over large-scale networks. The goal is to allocate budgeted resources each time step to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Ruigang Wang , Armaghan Zafar , Ian R. Manchester

Many malaria-endemic areas experience seasonal fluctuations in case incidence as Anopheles mosquito and Plasmodium parasite life cycles respond to changing environmental conditions. While most existing maps of malaria seasonality use fixed…

Malaria continues to be a major public health problem on the African continent, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. Nonetheless, efforts are ongoing, and significant progress has been made. In Burundi, malaria is among the main public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Daxelle Sakubu , Kelly Joelle Gatore Sinigirira , David Niyukuri

Improvements to Zambia's malaria surveillance system allow better monitoring of incidence and targetting of responses at refined spatial scales. As transmission decreases, understanding heterogeneity in risk at fine spatial scales becomes…

The main aim to build models capable of simulating the spreading of infectious diseases is to control them. And along this way, the key to find the optimal strategy for disease control is to obtain a large number of simulations of disease…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Ting Wang , Gui-Yun Li , Xin-Hui Li , Chi-Chun Zhou , Yuan-Yuan Wang , Li-Juan Li , Yan-Ting Yang

This paper addresses a task allocation problem for a large-scale robotic swarm, namely swarm distribution guidance problem. Unlike most of the existing frameworks handling this problem, the proposed framework suggests utilising local…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Inmo Jang , Hyo-Sang Shin , Antonios Tsourdos

The optimal allocation of vaccines to population subgroups over time is a challenging health care management problem. In the context of a pandemic, the interaction between vaccination policies adopted by multiple agents and the cooperation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-22 David Rey , Ahmed W Hammad , Meead Saberi

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

Combating an epidemic entails finding a plan that describes when and how to apply different interventions, such as mask-wearing mandates, vaccinations, school or workplace closures. An optimal plan will curb an epidemic with minimal loss of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Anh Mai , Nikunj Gupta , Azza Abouzied , Dennis Shasha

Existing strategies for determining the optimal treatment or monitoring strategy typically assume unlimited access to resources. However, when a health system has resource constraints, such as limited funds, access to medication, or…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-18 Ellen C Caniglia , Eleanor J Murray , Miguel A Hernan , Zach Shahn

In this paper we set out general principles and develop geostatistical methods for the analysis of data from spatio-temporally referenced prevalence surveys. Our objective is to provide a tutorial guide that can be used in order to identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Emanuele Giorgi , Peter J. Diggle , Robert W. Snow , Abdisalan M. Noor

This research considers the ranking and selection with input uncertainty. The objective is to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting the best alternative under a fixed simulation budget, where each alternative is measured…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Hui Xiao , Zhihong Wei

Recent statistics of malaria shows that over 200 million cases and estimated deaths of nearly half a million occur globally. Africa alone accounts for almost 90% of the cases. Several studies have been conducted to understand the disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-15 Babagana Modu , Nereida Polovina , Savas Konur

We study the problem of containing epidemic spreading processes in temporal networks. We specifically focus on the problem of finding a resource allocation to suppress epidemic infection, provided that an empirical time-series data of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Masaki Ogura , Junichi Harada

Malaria transmission in Madagascar is highly heterogeneous, exhibiting spatial, seasonal and long-term trends. Previous efforts to map malaria risk in Madagascar used prevalence data from Malaria Indicator Surveys. These cross-sectional…

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

We propose a mathematical spatiotemporal epidemic SICA model with a control strategy. The spatial behavior is modeled by adding a diffusion term with the Laplace operator, which is justified and interpreted both mathematically and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Houssine Zine , Abderrahim El Adraoui , Delfim F. M. Torres

Malaria is a life threatening disease, entirely preventable and treatable, provided the currently recommended interventions are properly implemented. These interventions include vector control through the use of insecticide-treated nets…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-01 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

Malaria is a serious infectious disease that is responsible for over half million deaths yearly worldwide. The major cause of these mortalities is late or inaccurate diagnosis. Manual microscopy is currently considered as the dominant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Arash Mehrjou

Malaria is the leading cause of death globally, especially in sub-Saharan African countries claiming over 400,000 deaths globally each year, underscoring the critical need for continued efforts to combat this preventable and treatable…