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Using the reconstruction of power input to the magnetosphere given in Paper 1 (arXiv:1708.04904), we reconstruct annual means of geomagnetic indices over the past 400 years to within a 1-sigma error of +/-20 pc. In addition, we study the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-01-09 Mike Lockwood , Mathew J. Owens , Luke A. Barnard , Chris J. Scott , Clare E. Watt , Sarah Bentley

Solar energetic particles (SEPs) affect the solar-terrestrial space environment and become a very important aspect in space weather research. In this work, we numerically investigate the transport processes of SEPs in three-dimensional…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 H. -Q. He , W. Wan

Future launches are projected to significantly increase both the number of active satellites and aggregate collision risk in Low Earth Orbit (LEO). In this paper, a dynamical systems theory approach is used to analyze the effect of launch…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-05 Celina Pasiecznik , Andrea D'Ambrosio , Daniel Jang , Richard Linares

Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. However, one of the biggest challenges is the lack of massive and diversified sky image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Yuhao Nie , Xiatong Li , Quentin Paletta , Max Aragon , Andea Scott , Adam Brandt

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) correspond to dramatic expulsions of plasma and magnetic field from the solar corona into the heliosphere. CMEs are scientifically relevant because they are involved in the physical mechanisms characterizing…

Exoplanetary science is among the fastest evolving fields of today's astronomical research. Ground-based planet-hunting surveys alongside dedicated space missions (Kepler, CoRoT) are delivering an ever-increasing number of exoplanets, now…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-28 M. Tessenyi , M. Ollivier , G. Tinetti , J. P. Beaulieu , V. Coudé du Foresto , T. Encrenaz , G. Micela , B. Swinyard , I. Ribas , A. Aylward , J. Tennyson , M. R. Swain , A. Sozzetti , G. Vasisht , P. Deroo

The SoHO spacecraft made astrophysicists achieve a major breakthrough in the knowledge of the Sun. In helioseismology, both GOLF and MDI experiments aboard SoHO greatly improve the accuracy of seismic data. More specifically, the detection…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 S. Couvidat , S. Turck-Chieze , A. G. Kosovichev

Utilizing the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics algorithm (SINDy) and Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Networks (LSTM), the population of resident space objects, divided into Active, Derelict, and Debris, in LEO can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Braden Stock , Maddox McVarthy , Simone Servadio

Space weather at Earth, driven by the solar activity, poses growing risks to satellites around our planet as well as to critical ground-based technological infrastructure. Major space weather contributors are the solar wind and coronal mass…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Daniela Martin , Jinsu Hong , Connor O'Brien , Valmir P Moraes Filho , Jasmine R. Kobayashi , Evangelia Samara , Joseph Gallego

The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) instrument is a major component of NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) spacecraft. Since beginning normal science operations on 1 May 2010, HMI has operated with remarkable continuity, e.g.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-07 J. Todd Hoeksema , Charles S. Baldner , Rock I. Bush , Jesper Schou , Philip H. Scherrer

Current AI weather forecasting models predict conventional atmospheric variables but cannot distinguish between cloud microphysical species critical for aviation safety. We introduce AviaSafe, a hierarchical, physics-informed neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Zijian Zhu , Qiusheng Huang , Anboyu Guo , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

Progress in space weather research and awareness needs community-wide strategies and procedures to evaluate our modeling assets. Here we present the activities of the Ambient Solar Wind Validation Team embedded in the COSPAR ISWAT…

Accurate forecasts of the impact of spatial weather and pan-European socio-economic and political risks on hourly electricity demand for the mid-term horizon are crucial for strategic decision-making amidst the inherent uncertainty. Most…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-06 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Suspended in the atmosphere are millions of tonnes of mineral dust which interacts with weather and climate. Accurate representation of mineral dust in weather models is vital, yet remains challenging. Large scale weather models use high…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-18 Trish E. Nowak , Andy T. Augousti , Benno I. Simmons , Stefan Siegert

We present Compressible Atmospheric Model-Network (CAM-NET), an AI model designed to predict neutral atmospheric variables from the Earth's surface to the ionosphere with high accuracy and computational efficiency. Accurate modeling of the…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-07-03 Jiahui Hu , Wenjun Dong

Accurate 24-hour solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the safe and economic operation of solar photovoltaic systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models represent the state-of-the-art in forecasting performance…

Spatial prediction of weather-elements like temperature, precipitation, and barometric pressure are generally based on satellite imagery or data collected at ground-stations. None of these data provide information at a more granular or…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Arnab Chakraborty , Soumendra Nath Lahiri , Alyson Wilson

In this brief paper, we analyze space weather events that occurred on May 11 and 12, 2024, from the perspective of an operational space weather center that provides advisories for civil aviation. One of the key metrics monitored by the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-14 Vyacheslav Burov , Kirill Kholodkov , Igor Aleshin

We aim to understand cloud formation in substellar objects. We combined the non-equilibrium, stationary cloud model of Helling, Woitke & Thi (2008; seed formation, growth, evaporation, gravitational settling, element conservation) with the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Christiane Helling , Matthias Dehn , Peter Woitke , Peter H. Hauschildt

Space weather is a multidisciplinary research area connecting scientists from across heliophysics domains seeking a coherent understanding of our space environment that can also serve modern life and society's needs. COSPAR's ISWAT…

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