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The paper studies a class of critical Markov branching processes with infinite variance of the offspring distribution. The processes admit also an immigration component at the jump-points of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, assuming that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Kosto V. Mitov , Nikolay M. Yanev

We prove stable convergence of conditional least squares estimators of drift parameters for supercritical continuous state and continuous time branching processes with immigration based on discrete time observations.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy

We provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of discrete Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration to continuous time and continuous state branching processes with immigration.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zenghu Li

An Allee effect occurs when the per-capita growth rate increases at low densities. Here, we investigate the evolutionary stability of a partial migration population with migrant population experiencing Allee effects. Partial migration is a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-02 Yogesh Trivedi , Ram Singh , Anushaya Mohapatra

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- hierarchical structure, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical branching diffusion with…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-02 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Sayaka Olsen , Ilya Zaliapin

Robustness is often regarded as a critical future challenge for real-world applications, where stability is essential. However, as models often learn tasks in a similar order, we hypothesize that easier tasks will be easier regardless of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Shir Ashury-Tahan , Ariel Gera , Elron Bandel , Michal Shmueli-Scheuer , Leshem Choshen

We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

Whether in search of better trade opportunities or escaping wars, humans have always been on the move. For almost a century, mathematical models of human mobility have been instrumental in the quantification of commuting patterns and…

We focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the critical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}$, when the offspring $\xi$ is regularly varying with index $\nu+1$ and the immigration $\eta$ is regularly varying with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

The dynamics of adaptation is difficult to predict because it is highly stochastic even in large populations. The uncertainty emerges from number fluctuations, called genetic drift, arising in the small number of particularly fit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Oskar Hallatschek , Lukas Geyrhofer

We study the performance of general dynamic matching models. This model is defined by a connected graph, where nodes represent the class of items and the edges the compatibilities between items. Items of different classes arrive one by one…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Arnaud Cadas , Josu Doncel , Jean-Michel Fourneau , Ana Bušić

We report that population dynamics in fluctuating environment accompanies mathematically equivalent structure to steady state thermodynamics. By employing the structure, population growth in fluctuating environment is decomposed into…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-04 Yuki Sughiyama , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi

In this paper, we design two chapters to discuss trade dynamics with heterogeneous fluctuations, contributing new insights to macroeconomic issues related to international trade. In the first chapter, we model general exchange rate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-11 Yongheng Hu

The notion of stability can be generalised to point processes by defining the scaling operation in a randomised way: scaling a configuration by $t$ corresponds to letting such a configuration evolve according to a Markov branching particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Giacomo Zanella , Sergei Zuyev

In this article we focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the subcritical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N_{+}}}$, under the condition that one of the offspring $\xi$ or immigration $\eta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

Finding a good compromise between the exploitation of known resources and the exploration of unknown, but potentially more profitable choices, is a general problem, which arises in many different scientific disciplines. We propose a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-28 Thomas Gueudré , Alexander Dobrinevski , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Understanding and predicting human migration patterns is a central challenge in population dynamics research. Traditional physics-inspired gravity and radiation models represent migration flows as functions of attractiveness using…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-03 Aric Cutuli , Upmanu Lall , Michael J. Puma , Émile Esmaili , Rachata Muneepeerakul

Continuous state branching processes with immigration are studied. We are particularly concerned with the associated (non-symmetric) Dirichlet form. After observing that gamma distributions are only reversible distributions for this class…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Kenji Handa

Over the last two decades, several methods have been proposed for stabilizing the dynamics of biological populations. However, these methods have typically been evaluated using different population dynamics models and in the context of very…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-03 Sudipta Tung , Abhishek Mishra , Sutirth Dey

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with immigration in varying environment. For $a\in\{0,1,2,...\},$ let $C=\{n\ge0:Z_n=a\}$ be the collection of times at which the population size of the process attains level $a.$ We give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Hua-Ming Wang
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