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The European energy system will undergo major transformations in the coming decades to implement mitigation measures and comply with the Paris Agreement. In particular, the share of weather-dependent wind generation will increase…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-23 Bastien Cozian , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

Rapid deployment of offshore wind is expected within the coming decades to help meet climate goals. With offshore wind turbine lifetimes of 25-30 years, and new offshore leases spanning 60 years, it is vital to consider long-term changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Simon C Warder , Matthew D Piggott

The incidence of widespread low-wind conditions is important to the reliability and economics of electric grids with large amounts of wind power. In order to investigate a future in which wind plants are geographically widespread but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-30 Mark A. Handschy , Stephen Rose , Jay Apt

The European electricity power grid is transitioning towards renewable energy sources, characterized by an increasing share of off- and onshore wind and solar power. However, the weather dependency of these energy sources poses a challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Felix Strnad , Jonathan Schmidt , Fabian Mockert , Philipp Hennig , Nicole Ludwig

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

Mitigating climate change demands a transition towards renewable electricity generation, with wind power being a particularly promising technology. Long periods either of high or of low wind therefore essentially define the necessary amount…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-07 Juliane Weber , Mark Reyers , Christian Beck , Marc Timme , Joaquim G. Pinto , Dirk Witthaut , Benjamin Schäfer

The importance of renewable power production is a set goal in terms of the energy turnaround. Developing short-term wind speed forecasting improvements might increase the profitability of wind power. This article compares two novel…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-11 Daniel Ambach

Renewable generation from wind and solar power is strongly weather-dependent. To plan future sustainable energy systems that are robust to this variability, a better understanding of why and when periods of low wind and solar power output…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Mockert , Christian M. Grams , Tom Brown , Fabian Neumann

The best wind locations are nowadays often occupied by old, less efficient and relatively small wind turbines. Many of them will soon reach the end of their operating lifetime, or lose financial support. Therefore, repowering comes to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-03 Jan Frederick Unnewehr , Eddy Jalbout , Christopher Jung , Dirk Schindler , Anke Weidlich

Climate change will impact wind and therefore wind power generation with largely unknown effect and magnitude. Climate models can provide insights and should be used for long-term power planning. In this work we use Gaussian processes to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-23 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

The transition of our energy system to renewable energies is necessary in order not to heat up the climate any further and to achieve climate neutrality. The use of wind energy plays an important role in this transition in Germany. But how…

Popular Physics · Physics 2023-04-28 Axel Kleidon

We present initial results of a study on the variability of wind speeds across Europe over the past 140 yr, making use of the recent Twentieth Century Reanalysis data set, which includes uncertainty estimates from an ensemble method of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-04 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton , Robin T. Clark

Wind and solar power are known to be highly influenced by weather events and may ramp up or down abruptly. Such events in the power production influence not only the availability of energy, but also the stability of the entire power grid.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-20 M. Anvari , G. Lohmann , M. Wächter , P. Milan , E. Lorenz , D. Heinemann , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar , Joachim Peinke

We operate the six German stations of the LOw Frequency ARray as standalone telescopes to observe more than 100 pulsars every week. To date, we have collected almost four years of high-quality data at an unprecedented weekly cadence. This…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-22 Caterina Tiburzi , Joris Verbiest

In a growing renewable based energy system, accurate and reliable wind power forecasts are crucial for grid stability, balancing supply and demand and market risk management. Even though short-term weather forecasts have been thoroughly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

The wind blows stronger and more reliably over the sea than over land. Thus, offshore wind energy is expected to make a major contribution to the energy transition in Germany, especially in the German Bight. But what happens when a growing…

Popular Physics · Physics 2023-01-04 Axel Kleidon

We use reanalysis data to investigate the daily co-variability of wind and solar irradiance in Britain, and its implications for renewable energy supply balancing. The joint distribution of daily-mean wind speeds and irradiances shows that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-20 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

To forecast wind power generation in the scale of years to decades, outputs from climate models are often used. However, one major limitation of the data projected by these models is their coarse temporal resolution - usually not finer than…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-19 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig , Rachel H. White

Examples of the different events affecting wind power fluctuations are shown.The behaviors and the responses of the Spanish power system and wind power plants experiencing such events were analyzed. Examples presented in this chapter show…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 S. Martin-Martínez , A. Vigueras-Rodríguez , E. Gómez-Lázaro , A. Molina-García , E. Muljadi , M. Milligan
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