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Understanding and predicting the duration or "return-to-normal" time of traffic incidents is important for system-level management and optimisation of road transportation networks. Increasing real-time availability of multiple data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-18 Kieran Kalair , Colm Connaughton

This paper develops a data-driven toolkit for traffic forecasting using high-resolution (a.k.a. event-based) traffic data. This is the raw data obtained from fixed sensors in urban roads. Time series of such raw data exhibit heavy…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-01 Wenqing Li , Chuhan Yang , Saif Eddin Jabari

Nowadays, traffic monitoring systems have access to real time data, e.g. through GPS devices. We propose a new traffic model able to take into account these data and, hence, able to describe the effects of unpredictable accidents. The well…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-11-11 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Francesca Marcellini

Traffic intersections are important scenes that can be seen almost everywhere in the traffic system. Currently, most simulation methods perform well at highways and urban traffic networks. In intersection scenarios, the challenge lies in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Pei Lv , Xinming Pei , Xinyu Ren , Yuzhen Zhang , Chaochao Li , Mingliang Xu

The main question to address in this paper is to recommend optimal signal timing plans in real time under incidents by incorporating domain knowledge developed with the traffic signal timing plans tuned for possible incidents, and learning…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-16 Weiran Yao , Sean Qian

Reducing traffic accidents is an important public safety challenge, therefore, accident analysis and prediction has been a topic of much research over the past few decades. Using small-scale datasets with limited coverage, being dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Sobhan Moosavi , Mohammad Hossein Samavatian , Srinivasan Parthasarathy , Radu Teodorescu , Rajiv Ramnath

Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Kaiqun Fu , Taoran Ji , Liang Zhao , Chang-Tien Lu

This paper introduces a general simulation framework that can allow the simulation of crashes and the evaluation of consequences on existing microsimulation packages. A specific family of simple and reproducible conflict indicators is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Vittorio Astarita , Vincenzo Pasquale Giofré

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

Accurate short-term traffic demand prediction is critical for the operation of traffic systems. Besides point estimation, the confidence interval of the prediction is also of great importance. Many models for traffic operations, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Chao Yang , Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu , Yan Cheng

Traffic simulation, complementing real-world data with a long-tail distribution, allows for effective evaluation and enhancement of the ability of autonomous vehicles to handle accident-prone scenarios. Simulating such safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Zherui Huang , Xing Gao , Guanjie Zheng , Licheng Wen , Xuemeng Yang , Xiao Sun

This study examines the feasibility of applying large language models (LLMs) for forecasting the impact of traffic incidents on the traffic flow. The use of LLMs for this task has several advantages over existing machine learning-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 George Jagadeesh , Srikrishna Iyer , Michal Polanowski , Kai Xin Thia

Reliable multi-horizon traffic forecasting is challenging because network conditions are stochastic, incident disruptions are intermittent, and effective spatial dependencies vary across time-of-day patterns. This study is conducted on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler , Stephanie Marik , Allen Sheldon , Rajeev Chhajer , Nithin Santhanam

Traffic microscopic simulation applications are a common tool in road transportation analysis and several attempts to perform road safety assessments have recently been carried out. However, these approaches often ignore causal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-10-12 Carlos Lima Azevedo , João L. Cardoso , Moshe E. Ben-Akiva

We present a novel framework for modeling traffic congestion events over road networks. Using multi-modal data by combining count data from traffic sensors with police reports that report traffic incidents, we aim to capture two types of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Shixiang Zhu , Ruyi Ding , Minghe Zhang , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Yao Xie

Inclement weather conditions can significantly impact driver visibility and tire-road surface friction, requiring adjusted safe driving speeds to reduce crash risk. This study proposes a hybrid predictive framework that recommends real-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wen Zhang , Adel W. Sadek , Chunming Qiao

Forecast systems in science and technology are increasingly moving beyond point prediction toward methods that produce full predictive distributions of future outcomes y, conditional on high-dimensional and complex sequences of inputs x.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

We study efficient and exact shortest path algorithms for routing on road networks with realistic traffic data. For navigation applications, both current (i.e., live) traffic events and predictions of future traffic flows play an important…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Nils Werner , Tim Zeitz

Efficient and accurate incident prediction in spatio-temporal systems is critical to minimize service downtime and optimize performance. This work aims to utilize historic data to predict and diagnose incidents using spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shreshth Tuli , Matthew R. Wilkinson , Chris Kettell

Autonomous vehicles hold great promise in improving the future of transportation. The driving models used in these vehicles are based on neural networks, which can be difficult to validate. However, ensuring the safety of these models is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Maximilian Zipfl , Sven Spickermann , J. Marius Zöllner
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