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Prediction markets are powerful tools to elicit and aggregate beliefs from strategic agents. However, in current prediction markets, agents may exhaust the social welfare by competing to be the first to update the market. We initiate the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Grant Schoenebeck , Chenkai Yu , Fang-Yi Yu

The problem of market clearing is to set a price for an item such that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. In this work, we cast the problem of predicting clearing prices into a learning framework and use the resulting models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Weiran Shen , Sébastien Lahaie , Renato Paes Leme

Artificial intelligence algorithms are increasingly used by firms to set prices. Previous research shows that they can exhibit collusive behaviour, but how quickly they can do so has so far remained an open question. I show that a modern…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-20 Kevin Michael Frick

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

Recent scholarly work has extensively examined the phenomenon of algorithmic collusion driven by AI-enabled pricing algorithms. However, online platforms commonly deploy recommender systems that influence how consumers discover and purchase…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Xingchen Xu , Stephanie Lee , Yong Tan

We address the practical problems of estimating the information relations that characterize large networks. Building on methods developed for analysis of the neural code, we show that reliable estimates of mutual information can be obtained…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Noam Slonim , Gurinder S. Atwal , Gasper Tkacik , William Bialek

Many interesting problems in the Internet industry can be framed as a two-sided marketplace problem. Examples include search applications and recommender systems showing people, jobs, movies, products, restaurants, etc. Incorporating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Kinjal Basu , Cyrus DiCiccio , Heloise Logan , Noureddine El Karoui

Ensuring the early detection of important social network users is a challenging task. Some peer ranking services are now well established, such as PeerIndex, Klout, or Kred. Their function is to rank users according to their influence. This…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Erwan Le Merrer , Gilles Trédan

How to rank web pages, scientists and online resources has recently attracted increasing attention from both physicists and computer scientists. In this paper, we study the ranking problem of rating systems where users vote objects by…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-01-14 Luo-Luo Jiang , Matus Medo , Joseph R. Wakeling , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Tao Zhou

We examine two types of binary betting markets, whose primary goal is for profit (such as sports gambling) or to gain information (such as prediction markets). We articulate the interplay between belief and price-setting to analyse both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Haiqing Zhu , Alexander Soen , Yun Kuen Cheung , Lexing Xie

With a novel search algorithm or assortment planning or assortment optimization algorithm that takes into account a Bayesian approach to information updating and two-stage assortment optimization techniques, the current research provides a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-07-19 Dipankar Das

Ranking systems form the basis for online search engines and recommendation services. They process large collections of items, for instance web pages or e-commerce products, and present the user with a small ordered selection. The goal of a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Harrie Oosterhuis

Peer prediction is a method to promote contributions of information by users in settings in which there is no way to verify the quality of responses. In multi-task peer prediction, the reports from users across multiple tasks are used to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-09 Debmalya Mandal , Matthew Leifer , David C. Parkes , Galen Pickard , Victor Shnayder

Peer grading systems make large courses more scalable, provide students with faster and more detailed feedback, and help students to learn by thinking critically about the work of others. A key obstacle to the broader adoption of peer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Hedayat Zarkoob , Hu Fu , Kevin Leyton-Brown

Several scenarios of interacting neural networks which are trained either in an identical or in a competitive way are solved analytically. In the case of identical training each perceptron receives the output of its neighbour. The symmetry…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 W. Kinzel , R. Metzler , I. Kanter

There has been a recent surge in interest in the application of artificial intelligence to automated trading. Reinforcement learning has been applied to single- and multi-instrument use cases, such as market making or portfolio management.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-16 Jonathan Sadighian

Federated Learning rests on the notion of training a global model distributedly on various devices. Under this setting, users' devices perform computations on their own data and then share the results with the cloud server to update the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Rui Hu , Yanmin Gong

In the rapidly evolving landscape of eCommerce, Artificial Intelligence (AI) based pricing algorithms, particularly those utilizing Reinforcement Learning (RL), are becoming increasingly prevalent. This rise has led to an inextricable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Michael Schlechtinger , Damaris Kosack , Franz Krause , Heiko Paulheim

Recommender systems are aimed at generating a personalized ranked list of items that an end user might be interested in. With the unprecedented success of deep learning in computer vision and speech recognition, recently it has been a hot…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Bo Song , Xin Yang , Yi Cao , Congfu Xu

Prediction markets are used in real life to predict outcomes of interest such as presidential elections. This paper presents a mathematical theory of artificial prediction markets for supervised learning of conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-18 Adrian Barbu , Nathan Lay
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