English
Related papers

Related papers: Generalized Parallel Tempering on Bayesian Inverse…

200 papers

We propose a unified framework that extends the inference methods for classical hidden Markov models to continuous settings, where both the hidden states and observations occur in continuous time. Two different settings are analyzed: hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Qingcan Wang , Weinan E

Parallel tempering, also known as replica exchange Monte Carlo, is studied in the context of two simple free energy landscapes. The first is a double well potential defined by two macrostates separated by a barrier. The second is a `golf…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Jon Machta

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

We propose a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method in which trial configurations are generated by evolving a state, sampled from a prior distribution, using a Markov transition matrix. We present two prototypical algorithms and derive their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-09 Joel Mabillard , Isha Malhotra , Bortolo Matteo Mognetti

Recent non-asymptotic analyses have substantially advanced the theory of distributional policy evaluation, but they largely concern synchronous full-state updates under a generative model, model-based estimators, accelerated variants, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ege C. Kaya , Abolfazl Hashemi

The effectiveness of stochastic algorithms based on Monte Carlo dynamics in solving hard optimization problems is mostly unknown. Beyond the basic statement that at a dynamical phase transition the ergodicity breaks and a Monte Carlo…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-07-10 Maria Chiara Angelini , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

The growing interest for high dimensional and functional data analysis led in the last decade to an important research developing a consequent amount of techniques. Parallelized algorithms, which consist in distributing and treat the data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Sofiane Saadane

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

We develop clustering procedures for longitudinal trajectories based on a continuous-time hidden Markov model (CTHMM) and a generalized linear observation model. Specifically in this paper, we carry out finite and infinite mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , David L. Buckeridge

The task of logic synthesis is to map a technology-independent representation of an application to hardware-specific operations, taking into account various constraints and trading off different costs associated with the implementation.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Thomas Häner , Damian S. Steiger , Helmut G. Katzgraber

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

This paper considers the inference of trends in multiple, nonstationary time series. To test whether trends are parallel to each other, we use a parallelism index based on the L2-distances between nonparametric trend estimators and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 David Degras , Zhiwei Xu , Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

We consider parallel asynchronous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for problems where we can leverage (stochastic) gradients to define continuous dynamics which explore the target distribution. We outline a solution strategy for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-09 Jost Tobias Springenberg , Aaron Klein , Stefan Falkner , Frank Hutter

We develop the first exact Bayesian methodology for the problem of inference in discretely observed regime switching diffusions. Switching diffusion models extend ordinary diffusions by allowing for jumps in instantaneous drift and…

This paper proposes a new sampling-based nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) algorithm, with a bound on complexity quadratic in the prediction horizon N and linear in the number of samples. The idea of the proposed algorithm is to use…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-13 R. V. Bobiti , M. Lazar

Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are routinely used to draw samples from distributions with intractable normalization constants. However, standard MCMC algorithms do not apply to doubly-intractable distributions in which there are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-02 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani , David MacKay

We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

Due to the need for robust uncertainty quantification, Bayesian neural learning has gained attention in the era of deep learning and big data. Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods typically implement Bayesian inference which faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Arpit Kapoor , Ashray Aman