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Heavy tails is a common feature of filtering distributions that results from the nonlinear dynamical and observation processes as well as the uncertainty from physical sensors. In these settings, the Kalman filter and its ensemble version -…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-16 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Jeff D. Eldredge , Youssef Marzouk

This study assesses the relative importance of time integration error in present-day climate simulations conducted with the atmosphere component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (EAMv1) at 1-degree horizontal resolution.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-03-02 Hui Wan , Shixuan Zhang , Philip J. Rasch , Vincent E. Larson , Xubin Zeng , Huiping Yan

We develop a self contained stochastic perturbation theory for discrete generation and multivariate Ensemble Kalman filters. Unlike their continuous-time counterparts, discrete EnKF algorithms are defined through a two steps prediction…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Pierre Del Moral , Bouchra Nasri , Bruno Rémillard

This paper presents a data-assimilation (DA)-based approach to forecast the phase-resolved wave evolution process and ship motion, which is developed by coupling the high-order spectral method (HOS), ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), and a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-22 Guangyao Wang , Yulin Pan

Traditional data assimilation uses information obtained from the propagation of one physics-driven model and combines it with information derived from real-world observations in order to obtain a better estimate of the truth of some natural…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

Many modern algorithms for inverse problems and data assimilation rely on ensemble Kalman updates to blend prior predictions with observed data. Ensemble Kalman methods often perform well with a small ensemble size, which is essential in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-05 Omar Al Ghattas , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has become a standard methodology for state estimation in high-dimensional systems, yet its various stochastic and deterministic formulations often appear conceptually disconnected. In this paper, a unified…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Jin Won Kim

We investigate constraints on the time variation of the fine structure constant between the recombination epoch and the present epoch, \Delta\alpha/\alpha \equiv (\alpha_{rec} - \alpha_{now})/\alpha_{now}, from cosmic microwave background…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Masahiro Nakashima , Kazuhide Ichikawa , Ryo Nagata , Jun'ichi Yokoyama

Data assimilation (DA) in the geophysical sciences remains the cornerstone of robust forecasts from numerical models. Indeed, DA plays a crucial role in the quality of numerical weather prediction, and is a crucial building block that has…

We combine high-dimensional factor models with fractional integration methods and derive models where nonstationary, potentially cointegrated data of different persistence is modelled as a function of common fractionally integrated factors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-12 Tobias Hartl

In atmospheric and turbulent flow modeling, Large Eddy Simulation (LES) is often used to reduce computational cost, while observational data typically originates from the underlying physical system. Motivated by this setting, we study a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Adam Larios , Ali Pakzad , Nicholas White

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

The characteristics of the model dynamics are critical in the performance of (ensemble) Kalman filters. In particular, as emphasized in the seminal work of Anna Trevisan and co-authors, the error covariance matrix is asymptotically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Marc Bocquet , Karthik S. Gurumoorthy , Amit Apte , Alberto Carrassi , Colin Grudzien , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

In the very last years, cosmological models where the properties of the dark components of the Universe - dark matter and dark energy - are accounted for by a single "dark fluid" have drawn increasing attention and interest. Amongst many…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-04-02 Stefano Camera , Carmelita Carbone , Lauro Moscardini

This paper considers the problem of data-driven robust control design for nonlinear systems, for instance, obtained when discretizing nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). A robust learning control approach is developed for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Anant A. Joshi , Saviz Mowlavi , Mouhacine Benosman

Data assimilation (DA) enables hydrologic models to update their internal states using near-real-time observations for more accurate forecasts. With deep neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM), using either lagged observations…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-25 Amirmoez Jamaat , Yalan Song , Farshid Rahmani , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

This paper presents a novel theoretical framework, called explicit ensemble mean (EEM) synchronization. This framework unifies time scale generation, clock synchronization, and oscillator frequency regulation within the systems and control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Takayuki Ishizaki , Takahiro Kawaguchi , Yuichiro Yano , Yuko Hanado